March 10, 2006: It’s official: Solar minimum has arrived. Sunspots have all but vanished. Solar flares are nonexistent. The sun is utterly quiet.
Like the quiet before a storm.
This week researchers announced that a storm is coming–the most intense solar maximum in fifty years. The prediction comes from a team led by Mausumi Dikpati of the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR). “The next sunspot cycle will be 30% to 50% stronger than the previous one,” she says. If correct, the years ahead could produce a burst of solar activity second only to the historic Solar Max of 1958.
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Perhaps they should stop making predictions public until they can be at least somewhere near the mark, otherwise they’re pretty much pointless; probably more importantly for climate “predictions”.
I don’t know Dave, I think Steve nailed it 2 years ago when, NOAA? predicted that one hurricane to hit ever state up the east coast…so why not!!!
Only a government employee can make a successful career out of being consistently wrong.
This must alongside such historic predictions as ‘snow will be a thing of the past’ (© Dr David Viner (late of the Climatic Research Unit, University of East Anglia)) and the UK Met Office ‘barbecue summer’ of 2009.
Were they 99% sure of the prediction?
NASA May 20, 2003
Hathaway predicts cycle 24 to begin Dec 2006
The original pdf has been deleted from the link below
http://science.nasa.gov/ssl/PAD/SOLAR/papers/hathadh/Hathaway_etal2003.pdf/
But The wayback Machine actually has the full pdf from 2003.
http://web.archive.org/web/20030309082050/http://science.nasa.gov/ssl/PAD/SOLAR/papers/hathadh/Hathaway_etal2003.pdf
I find it interesting that magnetic effects have no place in climate science.
Perhaps I am mistaken but I thought rotating magnetic fields produced energy – nah – that can’t be right -every climate scientists knows blackbodies aren’t subject to magnetic effects.
Power stations are impossible – the science is settled.