Arctic Forecast Verification

My June forecast of 5.5 million JAXA is now off by 9%.

My August 5.1 forecast is now off by 1%. Best guess of NSIDC numbers has their August forecast a little ahead of mine. each ring represents 100,000 km² of forecast error.

NCEP has changed their forecast and the winds should continue for at least a few more days. I expect to see continued compaction of the ice and decrease in extent.

The video below shows how southerly winds have persisted over the last few weeks.

About stevengoddard

Just having fun
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