Since mid-August, southerly winds have been pushing the edge of the Arctic ice back towards the North Pole. This is very similar to the pattern from the last El Niño year of 2007.
The graph below shows average ice thickness calculated from PIPS maps. As the ice has compressed towards the pole, the average thickness has increased, and is now the highest since 2007.
I wrote this in the June 6 Arctic Ice News, and that is exactly what has been happening.
In 2007, much of the actual ice loss occurred during the following winter, when thick multi-year ice blew out into the North Atlantic and melted. Let’s see what this winter brings.