NCEP has changed their forecast again, and now shows wind producing conditions continuing in the western Arctic for most of the next two weeks. This means continued compaction of the ice, melting, and reduction of extent.
Temperatures are below freezing over most of the remaining ice sheet, except for the the tip of the ice in the Beaufort and East Siberian Seas.
Same image with NSIDC ice extent map overlaid.
The modified NSIDC map below shows ice loss over the last three days in red.
The extent graph is going to keep heading down for at least the next few days.
As you can see, this is a very different September pattern from any other recent year.