Real Science

GISS On Track For Hottest Year Ever

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It appears almost certain that GISS will declare 2010 to be the hottest year ever.

It is also almost certain that UAH, RSS and HadCrut will not agree with GISS. They will most likely place 2010 below 1998.

Dr Hansen has recognized the discrepancy, and explains it by his “better Arctic coverage”

The blink comparator below shows GISS June-August (baseline 1958-2002) extrapolated (1200 km) vs June-August measured (250 km.) Note the large holes and the fact that there is little or no measured data north of 80N. Also note that GISS shows the region north of 80N as well above normal, despite the paucity of actual temperature data.

By contrast, DMI has a lot more actual temperature data, and shows June-August 2010 (north of 80N) well below the 1958-2002 mean.

The DMI closeup below shows 5518 pixels below normal and 1471 pixels above normal from June through August.

So which temperature record do you trust?  Is 2010 really the “hottest year ever?”

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