Romm Math Fail

Romm makes a nearly incomprehensible bet :

Let’s define “Ibet” as “the average of the Arctic sea ice extent minimum for the three years 2018-2020″ minus 4.6 million sq. km

The bet again is that we each agree to donate money to the others designated charity using the following formula:

Bastardi pays $1,000 minus [$1,000 times Ibet/2 Msqkm].  I pay $1,000 plus [$1,000 times Ibet/2 Msqkm].

If there is no change in the sea ice extent minimum, we both pay $1000.  If extent drops 2 million sq. km, then Bastardi pays $2000 and I pay zero.  If extent grows 2 million sq. km, then I pay 2k and Bastardi pays zero.  If extent grows 3 million sq. km, then I pay 3k and Bastardi pays zero.  Again, being very wrong is doubly costly.

If extent grows 3 million km^2, IBet = 3 million km^2. Using his formula, he pays $2500, not $3000 as he calculated.

$1000 + ($1000 * 3,000,000/2,000,000)  = $2,500


About stevengoddard

Just having fun
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6 Responses to Romm Math Fail

  1. suyts says:

    Oh my. hahahahahahahahhaha

  2. Pingback: He’s Lost It. Romm Has Reduced Himself To Telling Opponents To Meet Him After School

  3. Nobama says:

    Free money for Joe.

  4. R. de Haan says:

    In a last attempt to win the plea he makes a bet.

    What a looser.

  5. Joe Andersen says:

    The other $500 is the negative 500 that Bastardi “owes” – the terms of the bet have negative values paid by the other party.

    I’ll admit that it took me a good minute to recall that fact, but reference to it is in your quote! “…doubly costly..”

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