## Romm Math Fail

Romm makes a nearly incomprehensible bet :

Let’s define “Ibet” as “the average of the Arctic sea ice extent minimum for the three years 2018-2020″ minus 4.6 million sq. km

The bet again is that we each agree to donate money to the others designated charity using the following formula:

Bastardi pays \$1,000 minus [\$1,000 times Ibet/2 Msqkm].  I pay \$1,000 plus [\$1,000 times Ibet/2 Msqkm].

If there is no change in the sea ice extent minimum, we both pay \$1000.  If extent drops 2 million sq. km, then Bastardi pays \$2000 and I pay zero.  If extent grows 2 million sq. km, then I pay 2k and Bastardi pays zero.  If extent grows 3 million sq. km, then I pay 3k and Bastardi pays zero.  Again, being very wrong is doubly costly.

http://climateprogress.org/

If extent grows 3 million km^2, IBet = 3 million km^2. Using his formula, he pays \$2500, not \$3000 as he calculated.

\$1000 + (\$1000 * 3,000,000/2,000,000)  = \$2,500

Just having fun
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### 6 Responses to Romm Math Fail

1. suyts says:

Oh my. hahahahahahahahhaha

• P Gosselin says:

No wonder he can’t get his global temperature maths right. Romm is all huff.

2. Nobama says:

Free money for Joe.

3. R. de Haan says:

In a last attempt to win the plea he makes a bet.

What a looser.

4. Joe Andersen says:

The other \$500 is the negative 500 that Bastardi “owes” – the terms of the bet have negative values paid by the other party.

I’ll admit that it took me a good minute to recall that fact, but reference to it is in your quote! “…doubly costly..”