The Big Warming Is Now 40 Years Away

The effect of additional CO2 decreases logarithmically, so we can expect an exponential increase in temperature after 2050.

You may be yearning for warmer days after what is shaping up to be one of the coldest Aprils in Western Washington’s history.
University of Washington Atmospheric Sciences Professor Cliff Mass told the Ross and Burbank Show the warming is coming. Global Warming, that is.

“The fact that we haven’t warmed up much doesn’t mean anything. The warming is coming, but it’s not going to be really significant until the second half of the century,” Mass said.

The professor said the warming trend is “sort of exponential; it starts slowly and then revs up at the end.”

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17 Responses to The Big Warming Is Now 40 Years Away

  1. mike williams says:

    Then how is any of this falsifiable..thats a rhetorical joke of course..
    All the predications failed..but they are still right..because one day..the predications..will be right..
    This makes Lysenkoism look scientific ..

    • Dan says:

      There will be plenty of time in the next 300 years to say “I told you so”. It will be come very clear in just 50 years.

      • Hansen’s 1988 graphs show an exponential growth in temperatures after 2000.

        Of course he also argues that scenario A doesn’t count, because CO2 forcing tails off logarithmically.

        Penn and Teller would call this – “bullshit.”

      • Latitude says:

        Dan, it’s always right around the corner….

        Dan, do you realize they have been predicting this BS for over a hundred years?

      • Paul H says:

        There will be plenty of time in the next 300 years to say “I told you so”. It will be come very clear in just 50 years.

        Instead of just cut’n’pasting, perhaps you would like actually show us some proof?

      • Latitude says:

        Hey Dan, what caused the dust bowl drought?
        That was a little over a decade……………….

      • glacierman says:

        The argument since the early 1990s has always been…..but we can’t afford to wait. We just know it is happening and will be devastating…..we can’t afford to wait.

        Well we have waited 20 years and nothing, zip, zero, nada. But, devastation is just around the corner if we don’t act now!

  2. Baa Humbug says:

    It goes to show that they (the alarmists) actually do understand our climate cycles, they know we’re in for some cooling until the 40’s and are covering their a$$e$ since they weren’t able to get their socialist agenda through during the recently ended warming period.

    Liars and scam artists the lot of ’em. Tar n feathers would be too kind.

    • Dan says:

      Cooling until the 2040’s? If that were to be the case, I think the current models would be completely invalidated. Let’s just wait and see.

      • Mike Davis says:

        The current models have already been invalidated!
        Baa Humbug:
        I prefer painting them with honey and staking them out on an ant hill!

      • Latitude says:

        uh Dan, I think the current models were invalidated when they couldn’t find the hot spot…

        It was a requirement…….

      • glacierman says:

        If the models were done by alarmist scientists they cannot be invalidated because they predict everything that has happened or will happen perfectly. Just ask one.

  3. Paul in Sweden says:

    The professor said the warming trend is “sort of exponential; it starts slowly and then revs up at the end.”

    Is there an online CO2 Balloon Payment calculator that I can use to check that out?

  4. Andy Weiss says:

    But remember, when the warming comes, it will be super duper exponential!

  5. Stefan says:

    “We are kind of lucky”

    Climate people can’t quite bring themselves to cheer for human survival.

    What amazes me is that there’s really only two directions it can go, up or down, but they still get it wrong. If only those pesky natural cycles were longer…

  6. Charles Higley says:

    He means that as the effect of CO2 decreases the rate of warming increases! It’s an inverse relationship. WOW! Now logic has been completely abolished!

    Not only do they ignore the fact that CO2’s effect follows Beer’s Law and that it’s effect is largely spent at current atmospheric concentrations, but they also ignore the fact that there is not enough carbon to burn to double atmospheric CO2. This is because CO2 partitions 50 to 1 into the oceans, meaning that we would have to emit 50 times more CO2 than it would take to double atmospheric CO2 to make it actually double. We might be able to do 20%, but then we’d be out of carbon. The oceans fight CO2 increases, unless they are warming in which case they outgas, releasing hordes more CO2 than we can emit. Oh, isn’t that what they were doing until just recently? Warming? Hmmmm.

    However, the oceans are cooling and eventually the CO2 will decrease after a typical lag period, as detected in the historical records, both of atmospheric CO2 in the last 200 years and in Antarctic ice cores.

    The only way these clowns can pretend that CO2 will be causing warming a hundred years from now is by claiming a half-life of CO2 in the atmosphere of 200 (IPCC) or 1000 (NASA) years, such that CO2 accumulates (they can even blame global warming on the 1800s), suggesting long-term effects.

    In the real world, CO2’s half-life is around 5 years, which changes everything and also explains why we see seasonal fluctuations in CO2 at Mauna Loa.

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