Cool cloudy weather is forecast for Barrow the next two weeks, and the University of Alaska is forecasting a late break-up of the ice. In 2004, the ice was gone by June 18.
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There must be records for Barrow Ice going back beyond 2000. Those records going back 100 years or more would be interesting. What year had the earliest breakup and which the latest over that period to time?
There doesn’t seem to be a correlation between breakup and the final Sept minimum.
The is probably more of a correlation with wind and ocean currents.
Their forecast is based primarily on cloud conditions.
They may as well be reading chicken bones to determine future conditions. That would probably give them a more accurate answer!
What determines the cloud conditions in that region? Could it possibly have something to do with wind patterns like here?
In the greater scheme of things what happens in Barrow is not that important. Unless you live there.
Moscow is important, but only for a few weeks last summer.