Repeat Of My Arctic Ice Forecast From 6/19/2011

https://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2011/06/19/my-arctic-ice-forecast/

I am not going to make a prediction of September ice extent this year. It is a crap shoot, based on 15% ice concentration – which is highly dependent on the winds in August and early September.

More meaningful measures are ice thickness and ice age. PIPS is dead, so I can’t make any more comparisons of thickness, PIPS is back from the dead and NSIDC provides ice age data.

http://nsidc.org/images/arcticseaicenews/20110405_Figure5.png

My forecast is that come the end of September, the amount of multi-year ice will again  increase relative to last year, as it has done every year since 2008. In 2013 there should be an increase in the amount of five year old ice, because that is when the 2008 ice will have aged five years.

Advertisements

About stevengoddard

Just having fun
This entry was posted in Uncategorized. Bookmark the permalink.

9 Responses to Repeat Of My Arctic Ice Forecast From 6/19/2011

  1. Andy WeissDC says:

    If correct, your forecast will be a death blow to the alarmist cause and feel confident that the forecast , if anything, will be on the conservative side.

  2. Anything is possible says:

    I forecast that all the ice that melts between now and the middle of September will have re-formed by the middle of November.

    If I am wrong, we may actually have something worth talking about……

  3. David Appell says:

    AWDC: How many times has the AGW “death blow” been dealt now? They keep being claimed, and keep bouncing off.

    Meanwhile, Arctic sea ice volume — a better metric than just extent or area — is at a record low:
    http://davidappell.blogspot.com/2011/07/arctic-ice-is-at-record-low.html

    • Amino Acids in Meteorites says:

      I am sitting here thinking about how big a yawn I can produce for your comment.

      You are using PIOMAS, a climate model, that has not been verified as a reliable sork yet.

      You are a shallow alarmist. Looking at your blog I see you are in the far, far left of the political world.

  4. Pingback: Lessons from Past Climate Predictions: Arctic Sea Ice Extent | Youth Scientists

  5. Pingback: Lessons from Past Climate Predictions: Arctic Sea Ice Extent

  6. Pingback: Eco Logs – Kindling Wood – Kindling For Sale – Kindling » Blog Archive » Lessons from Past Climate Predictions: Arctic Sea Ice Extent

  7. Pingback: Firewood Logs- Buy Firewood – Firewood for sale » Lessons from Past Climate Predictions: Arctic Sea Ice Extent

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s