Normalized View Of Beaufort Sea Ice

I removed the horizontal displacement over the last nine days to make it clear just how little melt has occurred in the Beaufort Sea. The ice floes are not changing much in size or shape, yet. They undoubtedly will later in the summer.


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17 Responses to Normalized View Of Beaufort Sea Ice

  1. Tony Duncan says:

    Ah Steve,

    Even more evidence of a really high minimum this year. I am sure Peter and Neven are still willing to bet.

  2. OK You can bet for 6 million and Neven can bet for a record minimum. I’m happy to take both of your money.

    • Peter Ellis says:

      You do realise this implicitly admits that you know the final minimum will be worse than 2006 – otherwise why would you offer to take a bet from Tony on it being >6 million? So all your bluster about 2011 “tracking” 2006 is self-admitted hogwash.


      • God forbid anyone should state a scientific observation without having some agenda behind it.

      • Peter Ellis says:

        Eh? I’m making no comment on your scientific observations – I’m commenting on the fact that you say you’d happily take Tony’s money if he bet on the minimum being over 6 million. That’s not a scientific observation, it’s a financial one!

      • AndyW says:

        Exactly Peter, it stopped tracking 2006 months ago but Steve kept going on about it because he wanted it to be high, probably backed up with PIPS data.

        Sadly it stopped tracking 2006 and started tracking 2010. Now it is tracking 2007 closest.

        If we have a terrible summer from now on it will be 5.5. If we have a normal summer it will be 4.5 to 5 and if it is a very good summer weather wise ( sunshine) then it will be about 4.0.

        Also, the temps up there are a lot warmer than -2C so there is lots of melt going on, once again the denialists are saying it is only the wind … yeah right.


  3. Al Gored says:

    Mommy, will there be any polar bears when I grow up?

    No Billy, they are all being crushed by ice floes being squeezed together by Global Warming.

    • You’ve got it all wrong – when all that ice has melted, Ursus Maritimus will be stranded on land, and won’t be able to reach its prey, seals, which will be safe on the now-vanished ice.

  4. RVDL says:

    current Beaufort Sea Ice Area

    You’re right. Looks like the last days the area stays the same.

  5. Andy WeissDC says:

    The sun is already headed south and melting seems to be slowing. With all the thick ice in place, the 2007 record appears to be very safe.

    • AndyW says:

      How does melting seem to be slowing? There has already been more 100 000 + melt days in July in 2011 than in 2010 in the whole of 2010.

      For the last 4 year the average melt in July was about 2.5 million per month, in August it was 1.9. So for an average summer from now on it gives the final as 4.6, hardly meaning 2007 is safe…..

  6. AndyW says:

    We’ll see when the final extent is reached who is the moron Steve πŸ˜‰

    Just to point out at this point I have been closer to the final than you in the last 2 years. Ahem.


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