Guest Post By Joe Bastardi
Greatest Summer turn around ever?
If we take the hot Julys of 52,53,54,34,36,10,11
And look at the August average of what follows
we notice the mean of all this can be looked at to be slightly cooler but still very hot
But given what is going on now, the past 5 days, plus the forecasted upcoming 16, with another record cold air mass coming this weekend into the areas ( another because we had one this past weekend) that was in the heart of the NOAA Hot July area, this should be one of the greatest, if not THE NUMBER ONE GREATEST, July to August turn arounds in temps in US history. The 16 day means of over 5 degrees C below normal seem to cold to me ( I cant believe it can be 10 below for over 2 weeks, if it is, that could be the coldest 2 week period in US history in August for the plains, though I have not looked back at all of them
but this is amazingly cold. These models are on our Weatherbell.com site being developed by the one and only Dr Ryan Maue.
Now are you going to hear me start yapping that an amazing flip like this over 1-2% of the globe is a sign of global cooling. Of course not since that is pure nonsense. However arguing a cooling trend may be starting because of the cold PDO, which can be seen here with the 3 year meter temperature trend FOR THE ENTIRE GLOBE is something that should be considered.
Do you think we will hear anything about this major turn around from the people screaming about the hot July, even though it may wind up being unprecedented
in magnitude? Of course not. And the last thing they really want you to do is look at the total picture of the 2 meter temperatures the last few years, after the leveling off of the previous 10.
It is as if these people are mere weather voyeurs, only looking when it fits their purpose and only at the area it does. Look at this
How many YEARS have we ( many of us, not just me) been saying the flip to a cold PDO would lead to this. Last year President Obama got up in front of a crowd in Texas and blamed the drought on global warming , when temperatures as you can see above were cooling and the PDO idea was the reason for a forecast for increased drought like the 1950s From 4 -5 years previous. Did anyone call him on it. Will he apologize to Ricky Perry for what he said now? Of course not. Is there any acknowledgement on NOAAs part, or the WAPO that they are joining the party 5 years late, and that its not co2 causing this?
I am in awe of not only the weather, but how they get away with ANY this.