Hundred-Year Forecast: Drought
By CHRISTOPHER R. SCHWALM, CHRISTOPHER A. WILLIAMS and KEVIN SCHAEFER
Published: August 11, 2012
BY many measurements, this summer’s drought is one for the record books. But so was last year’s drought in the South Central states. And it has been only a decade since an extreme five-year drought hit the American West. Widespread annual droughts, once a rare calamity, have become more frequent and are set to become the “new normal.
It is difficult to comprehend how anyone could be as dishonest as Schwalm, Williams and Schaffer are. This is what Hansen said a decade ago.
Empirical evidence does not lend much support to the notion that climate is headed precipitately toward more extreme heat and drought. The drought of 1999 covered a smaller area than the 1988 drought, when the Mississippi almost dried up. And 1988 was a temporary inconvenience as compared with repeated droughts during the 1930s “Dust Bowl” that caused an exodus from the prairies, as chronicled in Steinbeck’s Grapes of Wrath.
Does it look like the Mississippi River has dried up? Has half the population of Oklahoma moved to California? Drought is cyclical and the children who wrote the NYT piece are either grossly incompetent or they are liars.