In 2008, Mark Serreze forecast an ice free North Pole due to the thin ice, which prompted Lewis Pugh to set out in a kayak. He only made it a few miles.
NASA’s top Arctic expert said that the whole Arctic was looking to be gone by 2012, and the Navy’s top expert said 2013 was conservative.
The North Pole still seems to be covered with ice four years later, but alarmists are excited about the prospect that some meaningless number with a +/- 20% variance in interpretation may come in slightly below the same meaningless number from 2007.
Also, PIOMAS tells us that the ice is less than half as thick as it was in 2008, the year it was supposed to melt out because it was so thin.
A three ringed circus of buffoons.