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In 2007, sea surface temperatures were far above normal in the Chukchi Sea. This year they are far below normal, which means that ice will form quickly. Most of the 2007 ice loss occurred during the following winter, when a lot of MYI blew out into the North Atlantic – leaving very thin ice in 2008.
http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/satellite/plots/satanom.arc.d-00.png
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