You can’t make this stuff up. In 2007, they forecast ice-free in 2013, and said it was too conservative. Peter Wadhams from Cambridge jumped on board.
“In hindsight, probably too much was read into 2007, and I would take some blame for that,” Serreze said. “There were so many of us that were astounded by what happened, and maybe we read too much into it.”
Five years later, they are doing exactly the same thing.
Peter Wadhams, a professor of ocean physics at Cambridge University, said that a prediction he made in 2008 that the ice could be gone in 2015 because of global warming was looking cautious.
“It could even all go this summer,” he said. “So I think the 2015 date is now looking a bit conservative. We may end up having an ice-free summer before then.”
How is two to five metres of ice going to melt this summer, with the sun setting for the winter and temperatures below 0C? They can’t even keep their story straight, much less get it right.