Maybe I Didn’t Screw Up After All

I made this post on December 26 :

Hottest Year Ever Update

NOAA is about to claim that 2012 was the hottest year ever in the US by a wide margin, but their data shows otherwise. If US temperatures average less than -2C for the rest of the year (which is quite likely) – then 1921 will remain the hottest year according to untampered GHCN HCN data.

ScreenHunter_357 Dec. 26 08.13

10-Day Temperature Outlook for the Conterminous U.S.

Further research shows that NOAA never updated the temperatures for the last four days of December, so my December 2012 numbers are too high. I don’t know if this is enough to bring 2012 down below 1921/1934 or not. It will be close.

I don’t know what NOAA is up to. Many stations have January, 2013 data – but almost none have data for December 28-31. This data is critical because those days were very cold and the annual rankings were very close.

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About stevengoddard

Just having fun
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10 Responses to Maybe I Didn’t Screw Up After All

  1. Just what are these people at NOAA being paid to do? They don’t finish the job but just move on to the next thing without regard to their duty!

  2. Robertv says:

    http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/images/stories/papers/reprint/ocean_warm_and_cool.pdf

    Dr. Robert E. Stevenson

    SOME BASICS OF MARINE CLIMATOLOGY

    “The atmosphere cannot warm until the underlying surface warms first. The lower atmosphere is transparent to direct solar radiation, preventing it from being significantly warmed by sunlight alone. The surface atmosphere thus gets its warmth in three ways: from direct contact with the oceans; from infrared radiation off the ocean surface; and, from the removal of latent heat from the ocean by evaporation. Consequently, the temperature of the lower atmosphere is largely determined by the temperature of the ocean.

    The greenhouse radiation from the atmosphere affects only the top few millimeters of the ocean. Water just a few centimeters deep receives none of the direct effect of the infrared thermal energy from the atmosphere! Further, it is in those top few millimeters in which evaporation takes places. So whatever infrared energy may reach the ocean as a result of the greenhouse effect is soon dissipated.”

  3. higley7 says:

    Of course, this is just the US and not for the whole world. The other vast, majority area had a very different experience.

  4. tckev says:

    “Many stations have January, 2013 data – but almost none have data for December 28-31. ”
    Well do as the alarmists do with missing data – just make some up… err sorry — adjust it statistically based on your experience and a new vague theory.
    I think -22 degrees for all three days is reasonable.

  5. Andy DC says:

    If you can only break a 91 year old record by a few silly hundreths of a degree, I am still not very impressed with “catastrophic warming”. It does not seem like the planet is spinning out of control.

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