Visualizing The Arctic Death Spiral

Arctic ice extent may be at its highest level in years now, but climate experts say that it will be ice free this summer. I plotted out the most likely trajectory below.

ScreenHunter_70 Feb. 18 12.13

ScreenHunter_72 Feb. 18 12.16

BBC NEWS | Science/Nature | Arctic summers ice-free ‘by 2013’


About stevengoddard

Just having fun
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17 Responses to Visualizing The Arctic Death Spiral

  1. Billy Liar says:

    So, August 25th it is!

  2. With climate modelling of this calibre I’m surprised Steve hasn’t been offered lead authorship of the Cryosphere chapter in AR5.

  3. squid2112 says:

    I just love that graph! … ROFLMAO ….

  4. Lance says:

    I have a hard time believing the spiral…it goes back in time all summer for a few days each month!!! /sarc…

    • Anthony S says:

      Ladies and gents, the wonders of carbon dioxide! Just like it can reverse causality with CO2 /temperature changes, it can also reverse time during the melt season.

    • cb says:

      You misunderstand: there are two equally perfectly correct measurements, but numerically different, occurring that the same time.

      There are not really spirals, there are in actuality only artifacts due to the underlying physics. Its all quite simple and obvious, really: but you must be a NASA-accredited climate scientist in order to understand the complex issues involved, and still call them simple and obvious.

      The CO2-driven death ‘spirals’ are real: do not doubt to the Experts. Only idiots do not understand that Thought-scientists have learned that only scientists are capable of thought. Failing to acknowledge this obvious scientific truth, is a form of mental illness, which fortunately is treatable by jail-time.

  5. Ben says:

    I’ll get the soot fleet and ice breakers going early this year. We don’t want to disappoint.

  6. Sparks says:

    Are there any global sea ice mosaic’s? I’m looking for an updated image similar to the blue marble format below.

  7. Andy OZ says:

    As they watch this happen, you can just hear the warmists shouting: “Yay, Boo, Yay, Boo……….WTF??”
    Spiralling ice extent would really mess with their minds. LOL
    On August 25th maybe we should wear black armbands commemorating the death of stupid predictions.

  8. ahaveland says:


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