Real Science

Washington Post : Models Are Correct – Real World Is Wrong

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Call me crazy, but I thought the forecast for Snowquester was pretty good, as total busts and epic fiascos go. The models in this case predicted serious snow in the I-95 corridor, but the storm “underperformed,” and didn’t drop snow intensely enough and consistently enough to cool down the warm layer of the atmosphere and the warm ground in the urban areas. For those of us in the city, Snowquester turned out to be the winter storm equivalent of Albert Haynesworth.

Still, I blame the storm more than I blame the computer models. The models are pretty good. It’s Nature that messed this up.

Forecasts and probabilities

h/t to  JunkScience.com and Marc Morano

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