Real Science

Another Hansen Fail

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In 1988, Hansen predicted a crime wave in twenty years

While doing research 12 or 13 years ago, I met Jim Hansen, the scientist who in 1988 predicted the greenhouse effect before Congress. I went over to the window with him and looked out on Broadway in New York City and said, “If what you’re saying about the greenhouse effect is true, is anything going to look different down there in 20 years?” He looked for a while and was quiet and didn’t say anything for a couple seconds. Then he said, “Well, there will be more traffic.” I, of course, didn’t think he heard the question right. Then he explained, “The West Side Highway will be under water. And there will be tape across the windows across the street because of high winds. And the same birds won’t be there. The trees in the median strip will change.” Then he said, “There will be more police cars.” Why? “Well, you know what happens to crime when the heat goes up.”

Stormy weather – Salon.com

So what actually happened?

January 25, 2013

As of 6:20 a.m. on Friday, New York City, with temperatures dropping as low as 11 degrees in recent days, had been murder-free for about 221 hours, a period of more than nine days. The cold, perhaps, pacified a city accustomed, on average, to more than a murder a day.

Cold Wave Cut Murders in New York City Significantly – NYTimes.com

Temperatures in New York are forecast to remain far below normal for the next two weeks.

10-Day Temperature Outlook for the Conterminous U.S.

Hansen has no idea what he is talking about, which is why he is a hero of the left.

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