Shock News : NOAA Climate Models Are Useless

NOAA forecasts for January-March were almost exactly inverted.

This is what they forecast :

ScreenHunter_72 Apr. 06 06.58

201209temp.gif (970×1203)

This is what we got :

ScreenHunter_71 Apr. 06 06.45

YearTDeptUS.png (688×531)

Forecasting doesn’t get any worse than that.

About stevengoddard

Just having fun
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7 Responses to Shock News : NOAA Climate Models Are Useless

  1. Ray says:

    I don’t know about that.
    The UK Met Office would put up a serious challenge.
    Such as forecasting that last April would see below average rainfall when it turned out to be one of the wettest ever.

    • Lawrence13 says:

      On March 22nd I believe last year after a very dry winter and the smell of AGW in their nostrils UKMO released a three month forecast for April, May and June saying all three would be drier than average here it is again in all its glory

      Click to access A3-layout-precip-AMJ.pdf

      The science is settled listen to the experts, erm.. I don’t think so

  2. gator69 says:

    Pretty soon they won’t even be good enough for defrauding the citizenry. But they may make great evidence some day!

  3. Bill Gannon says:

    Meteorologists can forecast three days out, but beyond that it becomes a crap shoot. That said NOAA trying to forecasting three months is just moronic at best. Just like the Met Office in England, last year forecast dry warm conditions for the year. We all know how that turned out.

    March 2000
    However, the warming is so far manifesting itself more in winters which are less cold than in much hotter summers. According to Dr David Viner, a senior research scientist at the climatic research unit (CRU) of the University of East Anglia,within a few years winter snowfall will become “a very rare and exciting event”.

    “Children just aren’t going to know what snow is,” he said.
    FAIL

  4. Chewer says:

    Their tarot cards need replacing!

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