Last summer, Arctic alarmists got very excited about an early winter storm which pulled a lot of heat out of the deep water, and melted the ice edge back. What they didn’t consider is that the heat was gone out of the water, which led to the large increase in ice this year.
But it is worse than it seems. This year’s storms have spread the ice out – increasing extent and exposing more water to cold air, causing even more heat loss.
So the ice is getting more extensive and the heat content of the water is declining. Putting this another way – the alarmists are screwed. There will be a large increase in multi-year ice next year, which is even harder to melt.