Anyway the climate models have proven that the 1938 and the 1821 Hurricane never happened. It was journalists at the time high on dissentry that imagined scary scenarios.
So it happened once in 1821 and again in 2012. That makes it a one in 191 year event. As far as I know those were the only two events of that magnitude for NYC.
Yes, the 1938 hurricane proves there is potential for a far worse event for NYC. That and Hurricane Carol during 1954, the only two major hurricanes in modern times for the Northeast.
Without a clear understanding of how tropical storms/ hurricane form and progress anyone ever put accurate figures to the likelihood of a storm making landfall? With such a tiny database of known tropical storms/ hurricane can the likelihood be extrapolated out with a reasonable degree of accuracy?
Of course the obvious thing is that as CO2 goes up, storm intensity and frequency decline. So why are we destroying the wealth of a nation by limiting CO2 emissions?
Real Science 
Inconvenient history.
Anyway the climate models have proven that the 1938 and the 1821 Hurricane never happened. It was journalists at the time high on dissentry that imagined scary scenarios.
BTW, 2013 is not happening either… poor alarmists!!
Keep at them Steve your doing a great job.
So it happened once in 1821 and again in 2012. That makes it a one in 191 year event. As far as I know those were the only two events of that magnitude for NYC.
Yes, the 1938 hurricane proves there is potential for a far worse event for NYC. That and Hurricane Carol during 1954, the only two major hurricanes in modern times for the Northeast.
It looks like a once every fifty years or so, at most. Fifty miles away is irrelevant scientifically. Storms do not know where cities are built.
Without a clear understanding of how tropical storms/ hurricane form and progress anyone ever put accurate figures to the likelihood of a storm making landfall? With such a tiny database of known tropical storms/ hurricane can the likelihood be extrapolated out with a reasonable degree of accuracy?
Of course the obvious thing is that as CO2 goes up, storm intensity and frequency decline. So why are we destroying the wealth of a nation by limiting CO2 emissions?
That would be Heidi D. Klien then?