Understanding 95% Certainty

The failure of 95% of climate models has made the IPCC 95% certain that the models are correct.

ScreenHunter_1756 Oct. 22 19.36

Maybe That IPCC 95% Certainty Was Correct After All

About stevengoddard

Just having fun
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7 Responses to Understanding 95% Certainty

  1. philjourdan says:

    95% is the closest number divisible by 5 to 97% that is the psychological maximum of credulity.

  2. Andy Oz says:

    They need to find another 0.4 degrees of cooling of the past to push current “departure from average” into the mid range of the models. I’d be on the lookout for a recut of historic (1983 – 1998) temperatures once again. Excuse will be “old data was incorrectly tabulated”.

  3. David A says:

    I am guessing they have not revealed the forcing assumptions of the three models that are on track.

  4. squid2112 says:

    Must be working, we’re not warming… ROFL…

    WORLD IS SPENDING $1 BILLION PER DAY TO TACKLE GLOBAL WARMING
    http://www.thegwpf.org/world-spending-1-billion-day-tackle-global-warming/

    Just think of the “constructive” things that money could do….

  5. Latitude says:

    The only place there’s a “fit”….is where they hindcast

  6. gator69 says:

    Learning from their mistakes? Or something….

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