Lies, Damned Lies, And Global Warming

Cold? What cold? Most of the globe had a mild winter

The central and eastern USA shivered through a colder-than-average winter, but most of the rest of the globe did not share in the chill, registering the eighth warmest overall winter on record.

Cold? What cold? Most of the globe had a mild winter

Globally, Dec-Feb was actually very close to the median since the 1970’s ice age scare.

ScreenHunter_767 Mar. 20 19.23

Excluding the volcano cooled years, the past Dec-Feb was just above the mean since 1979. There is no global warming story here, but the usual government fraudsters  spun it into one.

ScreenHunter_768 Mar. 20 19.33

About stevengoddard

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17 Responses to Lies, Damned Lies, And Global Warming

  1. Gail Combs says:

    What is interesting is the Earthshine Project albedo data. Note the inflection point at 1997-98 the time of the Super El Nino.

    albedo = Ice + Clouds.

    There is a connection between the sun and clouds:

    06 May 2012 Nature Geoscience | Letter Regional atmospheric circulation shifts induced by a grand solar minimum

    Large changes in solar ultraviolet radiation can indirectly affect climate by inducing atmospheric changes. Specifically, it has been suggested that centennial-scale climate variability during the Holocene epoch was controlled by the Sun. However, the amplitude of solar forcing is small when compared with the climatic effects and, without reliable data sets, it is unclear which feedback mechanisms could have amplified the forcing. Here we analyse annually laminated sediments of Lake Meerfelder Maar, Germany, to derive variations in wind strength and the rate of 10Be accumulation, a proxy for solar activity, from 3,300 to 2,000 years before present. We find a sharp increase in windiness and cosmogenic 10Be deposition 2,759  ±  39 varve years before present and a reduction in both entities 199  ±  9 annual layers later. We infer that the atmospheric circulation reacted abruptly and in phase with the solar minimum. A shift in atmospheric circulation in response to changes in solar activity is broadly consistent with atmospheric circulation patterns in long-term climate model simulations, and in reanalysis data that assimilate observations from recent solar minima into a climate model. We conclude that changes in atmospheric circulation amplified the solar signal and caused abrupt climate change about 2,800 years ago, coincident with a grand solar minimum.

    Another paper:

    Decadal Changes of Wind Stress over the Southern Ocean Associated with Antarctic Ozone Depletion
    … the positive trend of Southern Ocean surface wind stress during two recent decades is detected, and its close linkage with spring Antarctic ozone depletion is established. The spring Antarctic ozone depletion affects the Southern Hemisphere lower-stratospheric circulation in late spring/early summer. The positive feedback involves the strengthening and cooling of the polar vortex, the enhancement of meridional temperature gradients and the meridional and vertical potential vorticity gradients, the acceleration of the circumpolar westerlies, and the reduction of the upward wave flux. This feedback loop, together with the ozone-related photochemical interaction, leads to the upward tendency of lower-stratospheric zonal wind in austral summer. …

    and the new NASA paper – – science(DOT) – So the Sun does directly affect the Polar Vortex.

    Still another paper:

    The polar wind is mainly varying with solar UV flux, since it controls the ionization rate and photoelectron production in the ionosphere. Therefore the polar wind is sometimes referred to as photothermal outflow (Moore and Horwitz, 2007). The auroral outflows, on the other hand, are enhanced during active times, when the solar wind-ionospheric coupling is strong. Since the
    solar wind energy input shows larger variability than the solar radiation, the auroral wind is much more variable than the polar wind. Nsumei et al. (2008) have shown that solar illumination controls the plasma density over the polar caps mainly at low altitudes (below 2.5 RE), whereas it is controlled by the geomagnetic activity at higher altitudes (above 4 RE).”

    Effect of Drake Passage on the global thermohaline circulation.
    The West Wind Drift (aka Antarctic Circumpolar Current) is the wind driven current around Antarctica. The Humbolt current splits off from the West Wind Drift as it flows past Cape Horn (Drake passage) The Humbolt current “is a cold, low-salinity ocean current that flows north along the west coast of South America from the southern tip of Chile to northern Peru.” (WIKI) The deep sea Cromwell current, the Panama current, and the Humboldt current meet at 0 and 90W (Galapagos) and therefore a strong Humbolt current influences ENSO (El Nino/La Nina)

    The West Wind Drift also influences the North Atlantic.

    The Ekman divergence around Antarctica raises a large amount of deep water to the ocean’s surface. The regional Ekman transport moves the upwelled deep water northward out of the circumpolar zone. The divergence and northward surface drift combine, in effect, to remove deep water from the interior of the ocean. This wind-driven removal process is facilitated by a unique dynamic constraint operating in the latitude band containing Drake Passage. Through a simple model sensitivity experiment WC show that the upwelling and removal of deep water in the circumpolar belt may be quantitatively related to the formation of new deep water in the northern North Atlantic. These results show that stronger winds in the south can induct more deep water formation in the north and more deep outflow through the South Atlantic. The fact that winds in the southern hemisphere might influence the formation of deep water in the North Atlantic brings into question long-standing notions about the forces that drive the ocean’ thermohaline circulation….

    CO2 WHAT CO2? I see solar driven wind and clouds influencing the oceans and global weather.

    • Dmh says:

      Let’s make an experiment. /1/ Link test with 2 links,

    • Dmh says:

      Thanks for the links.
      /1/ O3 is probably the 2nd most important GHG, after water.
      /2/ Good to know about the Humbolt current and its influence on ENSO. I had already an idea that “something” coming from Antarctica was influencing ENSO and now you gave the name of the force!
      They say “a strong Humbolt current influences ENSO”, I have been following the UNISYS analysis,

      for more than 2 years and when people in 2012 were talking about an El Nino – as they continue to say that it’ll happen this year, etc., and they are always wrong! – I could “see” in the analysis that it would probably not happen, due to the cold waters coming from Antarctica. I believe we may conclude that the present “Humbolt current” is “strong”. 🙂
      The trend has increased in 2013 and the “anomaly” is now similar to 1 year ago. This suggests IMO that the influence could be connected with Antarctica ice extent, in particular in the region of Antarctica “close” to the Drake Passage.
      An extended region of MYI has been created there,

      with a steady trend of growth in the recent years, compare February maps (peak of melting season) in the following list,
      and increasing cold anomalies,
      The trend seems to have started in 2011.

  2. Gail Combs says:

    I had three live links so I got booted into a snow bank again.

  3. Dave N says:

    At least the polar bears seem to be thriving:

  4. gator69 says:

    “Most of the globe had a mild winter”

    True, if you include the Southern Hemisphere.

  5. rw says:

    It’s still cold and miserable where I am – and that’s not in the US. (In fact it’s very close to one of those red splotches on the USA Today map.)

  6. Gail Combs says:

    stevengoddard says:

    I changed the settings to accept four links


  7. Brian H says:

    The 97-98 “inflection point” goes away if you back out the massive adjustments Steve has been documenting.

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