Met Office Adopts A New Approach

The Met Office got every seasonal forecast wrong for about five years, before they abandoned them. But they are back now with unverifiable 25 year forecasts :

Britain will have more hotter, drier summers due to climate change, Met Office says

Heatwaves such as that seen in 2003 will become the norm across Europe by the 2040s due to global warming, scientists say

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/topics/weather/10722667/Britain-will-have-more-hotter-drier-summers-due-to-climate-change-Met-Office-says.html

Once a climate junkie gets hooked on government funding crack, apparently they can never get off.

About stevengoddard

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16 Responses to Met Office Adopts A New Approach

  1. Just so you know. says:

    There are two ways to interpret the second half of that last sentence. Both work.

  2. Otter (ClimateOtter on Twitter) says:

    *grumbles about not being awake* Well at least Steve will know what I am talking about!

  3. William Baird says:

    When I heard the Mets forecast for mild winters I immediately told my wife to prepare for a big freeze over 2014 – 5.

    My wife does not interest herself (or believe) in climate change but even she now treats the Met with absolute disbelief and derision..

    Do these wildly wrong forecasts further ‘the Cause’?. I thinhk they would do much better to keep quiet. I would if I had their record.

    William Baird

  4. Andy Oz says:

    The Met Office want to use everyone’s PC’s to do something or other.
    All because Australia and New Zealand have record drought, rain, heat, and every other weather phenomenon, which obviously never ever happened before. Before 1979 the world had perfect weather and cyclone Tracy never blew Darwin away. Climatologists are definitely hooked on crack.
    http://theconversation.com/how-your-computer-could-reveal-whats-driving-record-rain-and-heat-in-australia-and-nz-24804

  5. tom0mason says:

    The Met Office has improved their methodology with their new computer virtualized ‘spin-the-wheel’ modeling, or as they call it the ‘Wheel-of-Forecasting’.
    This gives a new level of a climate of chaos to forecasting.

  6. Anto says:

    The comments are hilarious. More than 280 of them and over 99% either skeptical or derisive.

  7. Bloke down the pub says:

    So their forecast is now more likely to be correct, even while at the same time being of even less use than it was before. They should leave the weather forecasting to Jeremy Paxman.

  8. Sundance says:

    The key to predicting the future is to make predictions far enough in the future that you are dead when your prediction fails so you don’t end up like Paul Ehrich, John Holdren, James Hansen, etc. Of course there will always be people who will continue to have faith in people like those mentioned above even after they’ve been shown to be wrong in their predictions.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Psychic_Friends_Network

    The MET says that their $37 million super computer (crystal ball) purchased a few years ago is the problem and they need a bigger more expensive crystal ball (super computer).

    • Shazaam says:

      Nothing succeeds like government failures.

      If it doesn’t work, it’s because they weren’t given enough time or money. After more time and more money, they need still more time and money. Rinse – repeat………

      At some point politicians are trapped because they don’t’ want to admit that so much of the public’s money (taxes taken from public that is) were poured down a rat hole with nothing to show for it.

  9. Bob Knows says:

    The MET office is so stupid they can’t even “predict” the weather right now by looking out a window. They can’t predict seasonal weather, and their 20 years guesses aren’t even as good as a dart board, in fact they are worse than a dart board. They are intentionally wrong and should be sent to prison.

  10. Jimbo says:

    Here is what the Met Office is trying to say.

    Guardian – 25 March 2014
    Climate change will make UK weather too wet and too dry, says Met Office
    The UK’s weather will become both too wet and too dry – and also too cold and too hot…..

    …”We have to continue to live with the cold events, but get used to the warm events,” said Professor Stephen Belcher, head of the Met Office’s Hadley Centre and who led the report….
    http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2014/mar/25/climate-change-uk-weather-wet-dry-met-office

    I think Goldilocks is in the house. She want unchanging, static kinda weather.

  11. Dave N says:

    They can’t even get it right for 25 days ahead; 25 years ahead will compound their errors in orders of magnitude.

  12. Billy Liar says:

    Here’s a veritable treasure trove of the Met Office’s scientific publications going back many years. I recommend starting with paper 18.1 from 2013. The opening paragraph amply demonstrates the Met Office mind set, as espoused by their scientific leader:

    http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/learning/library/publications/science/met-office-scientists/mosac

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