Expert Forecasting By Crack Government Scientists

Last summer, NOAA predicted a very active Atlantic hurricane season. It turned out to be the quietest in decades.

Then they forecast a warm winter, which turned out to be coldest in decades.

ScreenHunter_116 Apr. 05 19.45

http://www.theguardian.com/world/2013/nov/21/noaa-us-winter-weather-forecast

Their forecasting ability for the current year may be zero, but that doesn’t mean they can’t make expert forecasts for 100 years from now.

About stevengoddard

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16 Responses to Expert Forecasting By Crack Government Scientists

  1. aeroguy48 says:

    Its been cold here in North Texas, todays high was 56 normal 73

    • Gail Combs says:

      Don’t worry by the time Hansen the ‘Climate Chiropractor’ gets finished adjusting the data you will find it was the ‘Fifth warmest spring Evah!’

  2. Olaf Koenders says:

    All they need to do is maintain their rubbish forecast of equal chance of unusual warmth, cold, snow, rain and average weather until 2100. They seem to have it all covered, except asteroids.. 😉

  3. D. Self says:

    NOAA is Obama’s right hand.

  4. gator69 says:

    Maybe they should stop tampering with data and blaming everything on CO2. Just a suggestion.

  5. Bob Knows says:

    Government isn’t worth Shinola at ANYTHING they do. They are paid to spew political garbage, not to do science. Nobody with any sense at all believes ANYTHING that any government employee ever says about anything. And of course, Their Boss is the worst liar of the bunch.

    • Gail Combs says:

      I had the great misfortune to work for a recently retired government bureaucrat. He was so busy playing politics he could not see the trap set in front of him. We got him fired within a couple of months. He tried to fire me and it backfired big time.

      I really really hate office politics.

  6. lorne50 says:

    Gail love the ‘Climate Chiropractor’ spit coffee everywhere “thanks”

    • Gail Combs says:

      I stole it from the top of the page. I though Steve had really nailed it with that description of taking a sine curve and turning it into a straight line.

  7. catweazle666 says:

    Is that “crack” as in “crackhead”?

  8. Bob Knows says:

    All it takes to cover Canada with a mile thick ice sheet is for it to snow an inch or two more each winter than melts each summer. This year we are already doing ice sheet weather. We just don’t know if it will continue every year.

    • Gail Combs says:

      Like this?
      August 06, 2012; 8:38 PM Endless Winter for Alaska’s Mountains This Year

      There aren’t many places you can go to in the United States to see snow in August… Anchorage, Alaska, isn’t one of them.

      But the city is still dealing with leftover snow from last winter in its bordering mountain ranges. The all-time record snowfall of 133.6 inches last winter – just over 11 feet – could give Anchorage an endless winter.

      It’s a unique milestone… The combination of heavy snowfall and a cool spring caused the lingering snow… It’s very rare to see snow in the mountains that close to the solstice.”

      …it’s possible the melt of last year’s snow could overlap with new snow falls that can occur as early as September…

  9. Jimbo says:

    Just like the utterly useless Met Office in the UK they are not embarrassed by their crappy forecasts because that’s what their government have paid for – warming – no matter how it’s achieved during freeing. It’s free beer tomorrow.

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