Night Of The Living Infillers

Zeke just can’t grasp what he is doing wrong. Around 1990, USHCN started losing a lot of mainly rural stations. Using their clever infilling and gridding, they turned those disappearing stations into urban stations – which created a huge spurious warming trend.

Zeke likes the meaningless green line.

ScreenHunter_689 Jun. 28 15.47

The Blackboard » How not to calculate temperatures, part 3

See the graph below. Essentially all of the warming since 1990 is due to fabricated (no underlying temperature records) data shown below in green – which strongly hints at cooler rural stations being lost, and their missing data being replaced by infilled urban data.

This is so blatantly obvious, that only a temperature expert couldn’t grasp it.

ScreenHunter_297 Jun. 05 06.17

It is like dealing with anomaly/infilling/gridding zombies. Do they actually think that their large spike in temperatures after 1990, coinciding with their large spike in lost (mainly rural) stations – was coincidence?

unnamed

If you lose a cool rural station and replace the data with that from a warm urban station, it raises your average temperature. Now repeat over and over again several hundred times since 1990.

In the next graph, I normalized Zekes data properly, and highlighted the period of rapid station loss in blue.  The huge spike in temperatures in the green line is due to garbage data handling practices, not warming.

ScreenHunter_691 Jun. 28 16.22

Just say no to data tampering. This nonsense has to come to an end.

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About stevengoddard

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24 Responses to Night Of The Living Infillers

  1. R2Dtoo says:

    The middle graph on “adjustments” is what seals the deal- thanks for making everyone face the music.

  2. nickreality65 says:

    Did I read that IPCC has abandoned land temperatures in favor of sea surface temperatures?

  3. Ric Werme says:

    Check out http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/06/28/the-scientific-method-is-at-work-on-the-ushcn-temperature-data-set/

    All of that added up to a big heap of confirmation bias, I was so used to Goddard being wrong, I expected it again, but this time Steve Goddard was right and my confirmation bias prevented me from seeing that there was in fact a real issue in the data and that NCDC has dead stations that are reporting data that isn’t real: mea culpa.

  4. markstoval says:

    I see WUWT admits you are right, but even then AW had to claim you were wrong about a lot of other things that I don’t think you were wrong on. I remember some of those episodes and AW just don’t seem to comprehend what you are talking about sometimes.

    But he did say you were correct on the Big Story. We have that.

  5. Alan Poirier says:

    Excellent work. The past should never be changed. Observation and data cannot be virtualized.

  6. A C Osborn says:

    Strike One for Steven Goddard AKA (Tony).
    Well done mate.
    BEST Summaries are also biased crap too, I have the data to prrove it.

  7. Eliza says:

    A song dedicated to Michael Mann

  8. Bloke down the pub says:

    Hat tip to Anthony for the mea culpa. By the way, I take it you are familiar with the poem ‘If’
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/If%E2%80%94 it seems appropriate.

    If you can keep your head when all about you
    Are losing theirs and blaming it on you,
    If you can trust yourself when all men doubt you,
    But make allowance for their doubting too;
    If you can wait and not be tired by waiting,
    Or being lied about, don’t deal in lies,
    Or being hated, don’t give way to hating,
    And yet don’t look too good, nor talk too wise:

    If you can dream—and not make dreams your master;
    If you can think—and not make thoughts your aim;
    If you can meet with Triumph and Disaster
    And treat those two impostors just the same;
    If you can bear to hear the truth you’ve spoken
    Twisted by knaves to make a trap for fools,
    Or watch the things you gave your life to, broken,
    And stoop and build ’em up with worn-out tools:

    If you can make one heap of all your winnings
    And risk it on one turn of pitch-and-toss,
    And lose, and start again at your beginnings
    And never breathe a word about your loss;
    If you can force your heart and nerve and sinew
    To serve your turn long after they are gone,
    And so hold on when there is nothing in you
    Except the Will which says to them: “Hold on!”

    If you can talk with crowds and keep your virtue,
    Or walk with Kings—nor lose the common touch,
    If neither foes nor loving friends can hurt you,
    If all men count with you, but none too much;
    If you can fill the unforgiving minute
    With sixty seconds’ worth of distance run,
    Yours is the Earth and everything that’s in it,
    And—which is more—you’ll be a Man, my son![6]

    Congratulations.

  9. Eliza says:

    Stop criticizing Seke he’s proving your point me thinks hahahah.

  10. Eliza says:

    Ric Werme. Its not only Goddard here that was right. WUWT and others (Curry, Spencer, Carter, Dyson, Mcyntyre ect) have shown this. He just hammered the nail that had to be hammered..

  11. bit chilly says:

    eliza,he just hit the nail with a far bigger hammer than anyone else .small hammers need several hits to get the nail home. the hammer just wielded by sg has not only knocked the nail in,but knocked the wall down.

    if the people doing this work are true scientists ,they will be be asking questions of themselves they never thought of before. the reaction of the climate science community will be interesting to watch.will it be “we must strive to correct errors in the papers ” or will it be “well it does not make any difference anyway” .

    • Ric Werme says:

      Eliza, the hitting nails is one thing, getting things fixed is another. That takes a bit more finesse, but it appears to be happening.

      In the end, it will be a good group effort, despite the unfortunate breakdown in the beginning. It’ll be an interesting week, as long as the people who need to act aren’t on vacation.

      • geran says:

        Of course, “getting things fixed” has nothing to do with restoring credibility.

        Loss of credibility is not easily “fixed”.

        (That’s why censorship is so important–it covers up the lack of credibility.)

    • There Is No Substitute for Victory. says:

      Isn’t that supposed to be, “What difference does it make now?” or, “Bill and I were dead broke!”

  12. Phil Jones says:

    Skeptics need to stop fighting with Skeptics … Instead let’s demand someone from NOAA or NASA or even Mike Mann himself explain this… I don’t see Alarmists beating each other up… Instead they pat each other on the back, commend, praise each other… and try to one up on outlandish predictions!!

    Alarmists have moved on folks… they don’t want to debate the science, they refuse to… Instead it’s all about making Apocalyptic Predictions and Oppressing people thru obscene taxes and meaningless regulation in the name of “Climate Change”…

  13. NotAGolfer says:

    Great job! And thank you for your persistence. People are starting to listen. You might be changing the world.

  14. northernont says:

    I would also suspect that the raw data as graphed by Heller is also greatly influenced by siting issues identified by Watts adding more warming bias to the record.

  15. copernicus34 says:

    Tony, thanks for the work that you do.

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