Breaking News From Brazil

NCDC scientists are disappointed that raw scoring data was released to the public.

After correcting for time of possession bias (TOPS) and infilling the missing Argentina strikers in front of the net (FILNET) it has been determined that Argentina won 3-0.

Tom Karl said :

The data has to be adjusted

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8 Responses to Breaking News From Brazil

  1. 1957chev says:

    Adjusting the data seems to be the new solution to every problem….will it work when we have to pay our taxes, and other bills?

  2. Matt L. says:

    Funny stuff. What’s worse? Based on these adjustments, all the models still predict Brazil will win the 2014 World Cup.

    It seems like adjustment algorithm(s) is/are easy enough to validate: Find n stations in adjacent grids that weren’t adjusted last week/last month/yesterday. Now, drop one of those stations and fill in the missing variables like you would for any other station missing data and compute. Does the output match the number reported from last week?

    I wonder if the adjustment formula or the code executing it is posted or hosted somewhere.

  3. Scarface says:

    Thank you, so I DID win the soccer-pool after all. I will let the organizers know asap.
    The denier who claimed to have won (based on raw data of course, loser!) will look so pathetic!

    And to prevent CO2-emissions of all this people pointlessly flying around the world while a consensus on the outcome already has been established, I suggest the next Worldcup will be settled by letter. I think I will win the prize for best idea to combat climate change too!

  4. Ben Vorlich says:

    My model NDTG (Never Discount The Germans) came good though. I don’t gamble, you never see a bookmaker on a bike, but told my kids if they wanted a bet on an outsider to go for the Germans.

  5. tom0mason says:

    Fußball heute nicht mehr.

  6. RCM says:

    Well, it only makes sense. You see, the score at the end of the game is based on a single data point. If you look at the average of the data points throughout the game (removing those of questionable accuracy, such as those taken near the Argentinian goal, and thus subject to bias) it is clear that the long range trend model shows a clear victory for Argentina.

  7. Morgan says:

    The game was 120 minutes. 140 minutes if you count all the time Schwizengruber spent rolling around the ground in agony. Must be a world record.

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