On July 6, I made this forecast
On July 25, I made this forecast
So how did my forecasts turn out? Everything I forecast happened exactly as I predicted.
I also have been forecasting for the past three years that the amount of multi-year ice in the Arctic will increase, during a time when Arctic experts were predicting an ice-free Arctic
The difference between my approach and that of Arctic experts, is that I use the scientific method. They rely on superstition about a harmless trace gas. Real Science always beats superstition.