Visualizing How NCDC Defrauds The Public And Our Elected Officials

The animation below shows how NCDC turned the 24th warmest October, into the 4th warmest October.

  1. The actual thermometer data showed October as the 24th warmest, nearly four degrees cooler than 1947 and 1963, and on a long term cooling trend.
  2. After time of observation bias adjustments, the past has cooled, but temperatures are still on a downwards trend.
  3. The biggest cheat comes when they apply the UHI adjustment and homogenization, which makes the past much colder (yes, you read that correctly) and turns a cooling  trend into a warming trend.
  4. Finally NCDC throws in an additional cheat, on top of the USHCN cheats.

NCDCChanges

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About stevengoddard

Just having fun
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15 Responses to Visualizing How NCDC Defrauds The Public And Our Elected Officials

  1. edonthewayup says:

    Reblogged this on Edonurwayup's Blog and commented:
    The National Center for Disease Control is at it again, and again, and…..

  2. QV says:

    As human memory of past temperatures fades, it is easier to adjust them downward, rather than increasing the more recent ones.

  3. RCM says:

    I think it’s going to be a tough winter for the Climate Change kids. The public is already a bit cynical , and now it looks like two hard-to-explain-away cold winters in a row.
    http://abcnews.go.com/US/ice-visible-lake-superior-weeks-ahead-schedule/story?id=26939239

    You don’t need much knowledge of history to remember last winter.

  4. Dean Eggleston says:

    People now obviously have no direct knowledge of the temperature 100 years ago and some will believe adjustments are valid for way back then..because technology etc..but how can they explain away the year(approx. 2005..just a guess) that was clearly above 2014, an get away with dropping it down a degree so?

  5. tom says:

    I want to take issue with the headline only. “Our Elected Officials” are not being “defrauded”. As the ClimateGate emails revealed, they are directly driving the process by demanding results that can be used for their aggrandizement. They get the skewed results they want because they are dispensing the money (not their own money, of course).

  6. Frank K. says:

    “The biggest cheat comes when they apply the UHI adjustment and homogenization, which makes the past much colder (yes, you read that correctly) and turns a cooling trend into a warming trend.”

    This is very interesting. I always thought TOBS was the biggest adjustment. Could someone tell me how UHI adjustments and whatever “homoginization” algorithm they use cool the past???

    In my view, the only way that past temperatures can ever change is if (1) a mistake is discovered in the data and is corrected, or (2) the processing code changes. I would think that (1) would be a very rare event now that the raw data have been scrutinized for decades – (2) is more likely, and certainly a result of assumptions made by the people processing the data.

    I any case, how can there ever be any doubt about the temperature records since about the 1950s? We have had thermometers everywhere for well over 50 years – even longer. Temperature highs and lows have been reported in newspapers for decades, logged by commercial groups and the military for nautical and aviation purposes – there is data everywhere! Why do we need ANY TOBS, homoginization, or other processing?

    By the way, it would be interesting to go through the record of a newspaper like the Chicago Tribune or the New York Times and see if the temperatures they faithfully recorded day after day for over 100 years corresponded to the homogenized, TOBs corrected temperatures the NCDC publishes.

  7. t0mmyberg says:

    you refer to the actual thermometer data. Do you have a link to the actual data sets?

  8. t0mmyberg says:

    Sorry to comment again but I should say I have forwarded the link to this post to several people and what I keep getting back is “what is the data they are using”. So it would be good if you could elaborate more in the post about what the data are and where they are located. These are important issues and to discredit the warmists will require attention to detail

  9. Neal S says:

    Eventually it may be easier to lie about the data adjustments if access to
    historical datasets are no longer permitted. Does it make sense to make
    archives of such to ensure that such things don’t just disappear.

    I realize that the wayback machine can and does archive some things,
    but it is possible to either wipe or restrict access by request of those
    who run the webpages that have been archived.

  10. Jeff says:

    Michael Crichton’s ‘State of Fear’ has old temperature data from NOAA, fact within a book of ‘fiction’, and a used copy can be picked up for a song

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