100% Of US Warming Since 1990, Is Due To Fake Temperatures

USHCN has 1,218 stations in their database. Prior to 1990, they typically recorded temperatures at about 97% of these stations. But for some reason, USHCN has been reporting monthly temperatures at a smaller and smaller percentage of stations since 1990, and now about 30% of monthly temperatures are completely missing.

What NCDC does in those cases, is to fabricate temperatures for the missing stations. The graph below shows the percentage of stations which have fabricated data, which is increasing in a hockey stick.

ScreenHunter_5149 Dec. 12 21.43

I plotted below the average annual temperature of the fabricated data in blue, and the measured temperatures in red. The measured temperatures show no warming since 1990, but the fake temperatures are warming at 7.3 degrees per century.

 

ScreenHunter_5147 Dec. 12 21.27

ScreenHunter_5166 Dec. 13 06.05

These fake temperatures introduce a huge warming bias into the NCDC US temperature record, and account for 100% of all warming reported since 1990.

Raw data : ftp://ftp.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/ushcn/v2.5/ushcn.tavg.latest.raw.tar.gz
Final data : ftp://ftp.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/ushcn/v2.5/ushcn.tavg.latest.FLs.52i.tar.gz

Fake temperatures are marked with an “E” in their final database, as seen below in the 2008-2011 January-June data for Cadiz, Ohio.

ScreenHunter_5152 Dec. 12 22.23

Nearly 40% of the 2014 final temperatures are marked with an “E” – which is even larger than the 29% percentage of stations which are completely fake. This indicates that they are also making up temperatures for a large number of stations which actually do have thermometer data.

ScreenHunter_5167 Dec. 13 06.12

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About stevengoddard

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61 Responses to 100% Of US Warming Since 1990, Is Due To Fake Temperatures

  1. You’ve gotta get on TV with this Steve…

    • omanuel says:

      Steve aka Tony will be on TV, if the new media again reports news about information of real concern to the TV audience instead of treating TV viewers as a captive audience to be sold to the highest bidder for mindless propaganda.

      • omanuel says:

        1990 is the year when:

        1. The USSR supposedly fell
        2. The “Evil Empir Spd’ly Died”
        3. Ralph Cicerone became NAS President and used the position and annual review of budgets for federal research agencies like EPA, DOE, NASA, etc for the US Congress to direct federal research funds to a fraudulent battle against climate change in diverse agencies !

  2. Jason Calley says:

    Tony, great work!

    The sad thing is that most of the supporters of CAGW hold their belief for emotional reasons; the facts mean nothing to them. They will never be convinced by the actual data. When (eventually) the fraudulent nature of CAGW becomes inescapable, the long term damage to the reputation of science and scientists will be massive.

    • Marsh says:

      Yes Jason , “overall” Science is fast losing credibility due to pro CAGW deception tactics. I’m totally amazed ; how intelligent people can be so indoctrinated and/or corrupted to a
      belief that’s taken the form of a Religion with all the hell & brim-fire toward non followers.
      We can see many swept up by the Propaganda; the likes of which, we only see in War.

      There will come a day; the World will realize the Anthropogenic blame was exaggerated
      deliberately; causing unsubstantiated panic & misappropriation of government funding.
      This is a Crime, given the scale of the deception, money & professionals involved with this Fraud ; naming, shaming & penalties are needed to stop it ever happening again.

      Of course ; alarmist’s with profile & the media ( often to blame ) will want to whitewash & play down this by claiming it as an honest mistake,,, but Fraud is far from any mistake !
      The damage to Science will be immense ; it is already under way with good Scientists being branded as denier’s along with defamatory remarks ; it’s a lose, lose situation…

  3. Anything is possible says:

    Thermometers? We don’t need no stinkin’ thermometers!

    Not when we have algorithms.

  4. Are these estimated stations world wide or just US stations?

  5. Billy NZ says:

    Don’t you know what the E stands for? Emoginization. They put a leg on the bottom of the F which stood for Fudging. They actually don’t need to read ANY stations,because as ya all know. “The science is settled” Settled I tell ya.

  6. omanuel says:

    Tonight, I am convinced leaders of national academies of science – like the US NAS, the UK RS, etc., specifically the geophysics sections deceived the public as well as political leaders when they began social geo-engineer on planet Earth and its inhabitants to hide the source of energy that destroyed Hiroshima and Nagasaki in 1945.

    https://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2014/12/12/global-cooling-in-hayhoeville/#comment-468419

    Why do I believe that?

    1. The life of every person on Earth – ordinary citizens as well as politicians – has been jeopardized by lock-step misrepresentation of the object that made our elements, birthed the solar system five billion years (5 Ga) ago and still controls every atom, life and world in the solar system today.

    2. Homeland Security officials and FEMA finally released a fact sheet on the danger of misunderstanding the Sun this month, “Federal Interagency Response Plan — Space Weather” under the Freedom of Information Act, but still refuse to release the actual plan!

    http://www.abouthomelandsecurity.com/survivespaceweather.html

    3. Leaders of the US NAS and UK RS also refuse to address or discuss nine pages of precise data that show the fate of humanity depends on our understanding of the pulsar-centered star at the center of the solar system, exactly 1 AU (astronomical unit) from planet Earth:

    https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/10640850/Solar_Energy.pdf

    With kind regards,
    – Oliver K. Manuel
    Former NASA Principal
    Investigator for Apollo
    Mentored by P.K. Kuroda,
    John H. Reynolds & Tatz
    (Mitsunobu Tatsumoto)

  7. omanuel says:

    Climate skeptics focused anger on scientific illiterates like Gore and allowed real leaders of the climate movement, like NAS President – Climatologist Ralph Cicerone – to continue to direct federal research funds to support false propaganda disguised as “consensus science.”

    http://www.nasonline.org/about-nas/leadership/president.html

  8. tomwys1 says:

    The points in this post are well taken, but pejorative words like “fake” and “fabricated” used in place of mathematically precise terminology such as “interpolated,” taint a fine piece.

    The interpolation is, in fact, the Achilles heel of GISTEMP. Even “non-existant” is a better descriptor of what the interpolation algorithms do, and in addition, temperature boosting is a guaranteed part of the process.

    Think the US is alone here in temperature record boosting??? Not a chance!!! The conversion from HadCRUT3 to HadCRUT4 made it ABSOLUTELY CERTAIN that temperatures would mathematically translate upwards ( see: http://www.colderside.com/colderside/HadCRUT4.html ) by adding hundreds of “mini” (mostly Russian) urban Heat Islands.

    So the shrill cries of “Warmest Year(s) Ever” would go forth and permeate the land. Behold the new paradigm!!!

    • mjc says:

      Call it what you will, but a $2 word ‘interpolated’ means pretty much the same thing as the 25 cent word ‘faked’…

      Except that interpolation means that there is something to begin and end with…a point A and a point B. If you don’t have both then you are, in fact, making something up. Back when I was in school, doing science like that was the quickest way to get an ‘F’…well, maybe the second quickest. Copying someone else’s data may have been a quicker fail.

    • Baa Humbug says:

      The points in this post are well taken, but pejorative words like “fake” and “fabricated” used in place of mathematically precise terminology such as “interpolated,” taint a fine piece.

      Taint my ar$e. Do you really think the boffins at NCDC and GISS are making unintended errors? If so, interpolated might be the correct term.
      Steve has shown over and over and over again that these boffins are DELIBERATELY, INTENTIONALLY, PURPOSEFULLY (grab your thesaurus) fudging the data to show a non-existent warming.

      The fact is, not even a moron like G Schmidddttt can be so stupid as to make unintended errors in their “inter-farking-polations.
      This is fraud at the grandest of scales. If Steve had done anything else but call it as such, he’d not have any followers.

      So yes, FAKE graphs, FABRICATED warming and FRAUDULENT behaviour. Nothing less.

    • gator69 says:

      pe·jo·ra·tive: 1. a word expressing contempt or disapproval.

      I think you misunderestimate Tony’s disapproval, and assign waaaaay too much integrity to the motives of the crimatologists.

    • Interpolating from urban to rural stations is worse than “fake”

      • tomwys1 says:

        Of course, but explain the effect! Every (no exceptions) interpolation between urban to rural stations extends the “reach” of the associated Urban Heal Island (UHI). & when done over vast areas of the Arctic between 2 UHI sites, as GISTEMP does, the “warming” is guaranteed to permeate the data. A careful look at the HadCRUT link I furnished above shows how “4” was boosted just by systematically adding UHI sites, and lots of them.

        You don’t need to impute evil motives to the manipulators. The data speaks for itself, and the consistently “evil” results are their own badge of dishonor.

        I can’t wait for Senator Inhofe’s return!!! Couldn’t have asked for a better Christmas present!!!

        • mjc says:

          Bonehead Boehner could lose his job…

        • Jason Calley says:

          Hey Tom!

          Allow me to politely disagree with you. If the argument against the so-called “climate scientists” were in an early stage, I would agree that imputing evil motives would be uncalled for. A dispassionate pointing-out-of-error would be appropriate. Sadly, this is no longer the case. Their errors have been repeatedly shown for years but the errors are never addressed, and the agencies involved refuse to follow the procedures of actual science.

          If someone in an elevator brushes their hand against your wallet, it is probably an accident. No problem. If he continues to do so even when you have stepped back to give him space, it is deliberate. If you warn him repeatedly to leave you alone and he continues trying to grab your wallet — well, it is not an error, it is not an accident, he is not simply a victim of poor self control or bad coordination. He is (at best) a thief and a pickpocket, and there is every justification for naming him exactly that.

        • rah says:

          Man I wish your were right mjc but I just don’t see that happening. Boehner is establishment entrenched and backed by some very powerful forces. The just passed Omnibus simply ingratiated him even more with those that pull the strings. Rush was right. In one fell swoop Boehner gave up the biggest advantages the recent election results would bear for the new Republican dominated congress.

        • Jason Calley says:

          Hey rah! ” In one fell swoop Boehner gave up the biggest advantages the recent election results would bear for the new Republican dominated congress.”

          Are you actually surprised at that? The only difference between the Republicans and the Democrats is that they present different dance routines during the audition period. Once they make the chorus line, they all dance the same.

        • gator69 says:

          “The only difference between the Republicans and the Democrats is that they present different dance routines during the audition period. Once they make the chorus line, they all dance the same.”

          And that Jason, in a nutshell, is why I am a Libertarian. The sooner liberty loving Americans turn their backs on both parties, the better.

        • rah says:

          Actually Jason I’m not surprised but I also don’t totally agree with you. The establishment Republicans are most certainly only distinct from the democrats in a few ways, such as national defense. On my 30′ flag pole in my front yard under the Stars and Stripes flies the Don’t Tread On Me flag. Does that tell you where I’m coming from? What kind of Republican I am?

        • Tomwys

          If you think there is not a clear intent to deceive on the part of many climate scientists, just consider this example, where they claim that heatwaves are increasing in the MidWest.

          http://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2014/12/12/the-truth-about-mid-west-heatwaves-that-the-ucs-did-not-tell-you/

  9. au1corsair says:

    I laugh when people tell me that Nature obeys the Laws of Science. Talk about putting the cart before the horse! Scientific “laws” are observation, are guesses about how Nature works. Nature isn’t subject to man-made laws. And that observation might enrage all the petty little wanna-be gods in human form!

    Temperature readings not conforming to climate model? Which is reality–the computer abstract or Planet Earth?

  10. ntesdorf says:

    Steve,
    Thanks for the detailed exposure of the fraudulent methods of the Bureau in the U.S.A. However the same things are being done in Australia and New Zealand as exposed by Joanne Nova and Warwick Hughes, quite recently. I think that if you scratched the surface more, you would find that all the Warmista Bureaus were in constant touch with each other to share the best methods to promote the cause and defraud the public.

    • Gail Combs says:

      Thats what the Climategate e-mails showed among other things.

      You also find the personnel hops around from country to country.
      Robert Watson is a classic: He is the connection between NASA and the CRU and the IPCC all in one person.

      1. PhD in gas phase chemical kinetics (atmospheric chemistry) from Queen Mary College, University of London in 1973.

      2. Director of the Science Division and Chief Scientist for the Office of Mission to Planet Earth at the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA).

      3. Associate Director for Environment in the Office of the President of the United States in the White House.

      4. Chairman of the Global Environment Facility’s Scientific and Technical Advisory Panel from 1991 to 1994. The Global Environment Facility (GEF) unites 183 countries in partnership with international institutions, civil society organizations (CSOs), and the private sector to address global environmental issues while supporting national sustainable development initiatives.

      5. 1996, joined the World Bank – Senior Scientific adviser in the Environment Department, became Director of the Environment Department and Head of the Environment Sector Board in 1997

      6. co-chair for the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment from 2000 to 2005. The Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (MA) is a major assessment of the effects of human activity on the environment.

      7. Chair of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) from 1997 to 2002

      8. Currently the Chief Scientist and Senior Adviser for Sustainable Development of World Bank.

      9. 2007 – Chair of Environmental Science and Science Director of the Tyndall Centre at the University of East Anglia, United Kingdom

      10. 2007- UK’s Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra) – Chief Scientific Adviser

      11. Currently Director of the International Assessment of Agricultural Science and Technology for Development
      co-chair of the International Scientific Assessment of Stratospheric Ozone.

      12. 2012 -knighted for his government service.
      Chair or co-chair of other international scientific assessments, including the IPCC Working Group II, the United Nations Environment Programme/World Meteorological Organization (UNEP/WMO), and the UNEP Global Biodiversity Assessment. Professor of Environmental Sciences; Director of Strategic Development, Tyndall at the University of East Anglia….
      WIKI

      Watson was in the game from the beginning when they sent up the trial balloon scare of Ozone deplecion

      Watson had a role in either the regulation efforts of Ozone depletion and global warming. The Montreal [1989] and Vienna [1988] conventions were installed long before a scientific consensus was established. Till the 1980ies EU, NASA, NAS, UNEP, WMO and the British government had dissenting scientific reports. Watson played a crucial role in the process of unified assessments and did so as well for the IPCC.

      So he was a key person in driving ‘Consenus’ science and for this he was knighted. {:>D

      • kentclizbe says:

        Wow!

        That’s an excellent job of connecting the dots, Gail!

        The typical response of the AGW conspirators: Admit Nothing. Deny Everything. Make Counter-accusations, fails to gain traction when the connections are provided so clearly.

        It would be great if you could turn those connections into a link-chart. Then do the same for all the global members of the AGW cabal.

        That would be very, very useful.

      • R2Dtoo says:

        Gail: Have you found any connection to the Club of Rome or Bilderberg? This is Agenda 21 all the way.

  11. Mack says:

    That’s a good graph of Fabricated USHCN monthly data. As the time axis goes on, the growth of lying and fabrication increases almost expotentially. Also, mathematically, I think, intensity of bullshit is inversely proportional to “scientist” degree of credibility.
    Second thoughts….I’d better stay out of this graph stuff and leave it to Steve.

    • stpaulchuck says:

      now, now, you apparently don’t appreciate the application of The universal Variable Constant which can only by used by ‘climate scientists’ as defined by the UN.

  12. Baa Humbug says:

    Where does this leave the ‘luke warmist’ sceptics?
    When the snake oil salesmen warmists are asked about the non-warming of the last 18 years, they respond….. “natural variability”.
    When the gullible luke warmist sceptics are asked about the non-warming of the last 18 years, they respond….. “natural variability”.
    And people wonder how is it that this scam lasted so long.

    The ONLY thing that the so called Greenhouse Effect does is reduce the daytime highs and increase the night time lows (narrowing the diurnal range). Whether the ‘average’ temperature is higher or lower is purely academic and irrelevant to the real world.

  13. Eliza says:

    Hope Inhofe is reading this. This really warrants and urgent senate inquiry. The persons doing this need to be replaced/retired urgently. BTW way as I sees it this site is beginning to drain all other skeptic sites that are not prepared to call a spade a spade because much more firm action is needed against this fraud.

  14. Eliza says:

    “an urgent”

  15. David A says:

    With almost 30 of the data called “missing” and clearly wrong from the actual, has ANY explanation been offered as to why data that is not missing, is reported as missing?
    Do the missing stations change in such a manner that the adjusted data consistently shows warming?
    Who or what in the algorithm determines which stations not to use, and which stations spread their warmth? (This appears to be what Gavin does globally.)

    • Rud Istvan says:

      Yes. Automated regional expectations ‘quality’ control. An example is Luling Texas 2013, but the NCDC explanation fails for 1934. Footnote 25 to essay When Data Isn’t explains using BEST station 166900. The essay is a much broader and deeper expose of temperature record ‘fiddling’, and not just by NOAA and NASA. The essay is one of many covering similar ‘devious’ aspects of climate change and its supposed consequences in the new ebook Blowing Smoke: essays on energy and climate.

  16. Clankster says:

    Twitter is blocking retweet of this post.

  17. John Peter says:

    Located in UK so can’t contact Inhofe on this and other Heller revelations about artificial warming. Why don’t you Americans, who can understand and document the ongoings, make sure that Inhofe is aware of what is going on? Why always wait for someone else to do the work? An enquiry into the ongoings at USHCN and GISS should be Inhofe’s first action after taking over as majority party in January.

  18. stpaulchuck says:

    OMG! They are throwing out temperatures they don’t like and replacing them with ‘estimated’ values. Good Grief! And yet no one in Congress is bringing this up?? There are no Inspectors General involved?? This is a scandal of epic proportions.

    • Jason Calley says:

      “And yet no one in Congress is bringing this up?? There are no Inspectors General involved?? ”

      Maybe I am a little slow today… Are you being sarcastic, or serious? If you are serious, then the obvious reason there is no governmental investigation is that these are governmental agencies reporting what is desired of them. Maybe “desired” is too weak a word. “Demanded” might be more accurate.

  19. emsnews says:

    This particular article is the most important news of all. The steady and now very strong elimination of temperature data is criminal.

  20. Thomas Englert says:

    The percent of fabricated data, when plotted over time, shows the hockey-sticks we should be concerned about.

  21. au1corsair says:

    The data may be fabricated–but not prefabricated. They seem to make it up on the spot.

  22. omanuel says:

    To recap, climate fraud is part of the Matrix of Deceit, probably built by the Geophysics sections of NAS and RS in 1945 to save the world from nuclear destruction.

    The Mayrix instead isolated humanity from the creator, destroyer and sustainer of every atom, life and world in the solar system.

    See: “Solar energy,” Advances in Astronomy (submitted 1 Sept 2014) https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/10640850/Solar_Energy.pdf

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