Arctic Sea Ice Extent Remains At A 10 Year High

Since the end of October,  Arctic sea ice extent has been at a 10 year high almost every day.

ScreenHunter_5257 Dec. 17 06.19 COI | Centre for Ocean and Ice | Danmarks Meteorologiske Institut

Those “illegitimate skeptics” who predicted this, were called “breathtakingly ignorant” by Mark Serreze.

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16 Responses to Arctic Sea Ice Extent Remains At A 10 Year High

  1. ren says:

    The high albedo causes a rapid drop in temperature.

    • Sparks says:

      ren, I was wondering about albedo, how can there be “high albedo” during winter if, for the majority of the time the Arctic is in darkness with reduced albedo due to earth’s axil tilt?

      • AZ1971 says:

        It’s called snow and ice, Sparks. It’s winter. What little sun does shine is reflected back by the albedo effect.

        • stewart pid says:

          Spark’s point is that all sunlight is missing north of the arctic circle at this time of year … 4 days until the solstice. Albedo don’t really matter when it is night 24 hours a day.

        • Gail Combs says:

          stewart pid, you are completely missing what that graph shows—MORE snow at lower latitudes. Not to mentions snow early in the season at lower latitudes.

          For example Toronto, Ontario is covered in snow.
          The Lat is 43.6° N
          Sun rise: 7:45 AM EST Sun set: 4:42 PM EST

          More over Canada and parts of the USA were getting plastered with snow very early this year:

          September 12, 2014 Record early snowfall blankets parts of Wyoming, South Dakota, Montana and Colorado, a blast of wintry weather dumped up to 20 inches of snow in parts of Wyoming on Wednesday and Thursday and sent overnight temperatures plummeting into the 20s in some areas. It was the earliest snowfall on record for parts of Wyoming and southwest South Dakota.

          8 September 2014 In Grande Cache, Alberta the snow was so heavy and thick, it cut power to many homes.

          September 10, 2014: Alberta snow bad news for farm crops ahead of harvest, Grain farmers near Calgary say harvesting damaged crops will take longer

          China and Russia have also been hit with early snow, and Japan has been repeatedly plastered this December.
          Tokushima is at lat. 34.0° N, the same as mid North Carolina. Yet a blizzard left at least seven people dead and hundreds cut off…. link

          June 19, 2014: Russia – First snowfall ever reported at this time of year in Tver region

          October 22, 2014: Dramatic temperature drops in northern China
          Heilongjiang’s Mohe has already seen some heavy snowfall this season.

      • Gail Combs says:

        It depends at what latitude the snow/sea ice is and at what time of year.
        RACookPE1978 over at WUWT goes into the nitty gritty:

        http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/03/01/southern-sea-ice-area-minimum-2nd-highest-on-record/#comment-1580076

        http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/02/18/how-much-sunlight-actually-enters-the-system/#comment-1571201

        http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/02/17/crises-in-climatology/#comment-1571641

        Pay close attention to what RACook says in each of those blogs.

        RACookPE1978 says:
        February 18, 2014 at 6:30 pm
        wattsupwiththat(DOT)com/2014/02/18/how-much-sunlight-actually-enters-the-system/#comment-1571596

        Willis Eschenbach says:
        February 18, 2014 at 6:18 pm

        It strikes me while writing this that we might have enough data to answer the question. Sounds like a good project, and what I need is the gridded map of ice coverage on a 1° grid. With that plus the CERES data, we should be able to answer the question … always more things on my list.

        (from your earlier post)

        I’ve got that part solved: Inbound diffuse and direct SW solar radiation on an hour-by-hour basis for any day of year at any (arctic or antarctic) latitude.

        Have got ice albedo as it varies by day-of-year, open ocean albedo as it varies by hour-of-day (solar elevation angle) and day-of-year and wind speed. So albedo and reflected or absorbed values are ready for you for each day-of-year and latitude for direct and diffuse radiation…..

    • Gail Combs says:

      Steve also posted a similar graph in this post: https://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2014/11/25/huge-increase-in-autumn-snow-cover-over-the-past-25-years/

      But it is a blink graph so you can see how the snow would increase the Albedo:

  2. rah says:

    But But at the NSIDC sea ice page it shows a steady decline http://nsidc.org/cryosphere/sotc/sea_ice.html with Arctic sea ice levels as 0f 2013 still well below their selected 1981 to 2010 Mean. https://nsidc.org/sites/nsidc.org/files/images//mean_anomaly_1953-2012.png
    And their nice little table on that page makes it clear that things are getting worse.

    At what point will they be forced to deal with the reality? In the real world I would expect that once they reach that “tipping point” Director Serreze would be out of a job. But Academics is not the real world now is it.

    • I love how they are still using 2012 as the end point. How much longer can they do that?

    • AZ1971 says:

      I love how they use two different sources to create a singular graphic: “For January 1953 through December 1979, data have been obtained from the UK Hadley Centre and are based on operational ice charts and other sources. For January 1979 through December 2012, data are derived from passive microwave.”

      In other words, “operational ice charts” don’t really mean anything because ships aren’t satellite data, aren’t capable of penetrating the ice pack, are limited in daily reporting, and in general aren’t reflecting what the true conditions were at the time. It would be like looking into the sky along both coasts of the U.S. and based on what each of the coasts are seeing, estimating how much of the rest of the country is covered in clouds. Absolute bunk!

      And this is supposedly our most authoritative scientific minds who get to set policy? I’m reminded of Johnny Carson’s “The Great Carnac”. (For you younger readers, it was really REALLY funny stuff.)

    • Gail Combs says:

      “At what point will they be forced to deal with the reality? “

      When there is a mile high glacier sitting on Chicago and even then they will claim it is do to Gore Bull Warbling.

  3. Keith says:

    Excellent. It would be good to hear the latest quotes from Mark Serreze on whether things are spiralling up instead of down.

  4. talldave2 says:

    Can we have our breath back now, Mark?

  5. sgk991 says:

    This is the reason why parts of US,Europe etc are experiencing arctic air and the so called polar vortex and are going to do so every year from now on and the whole world experiencing weather extremes.
    The daily earth wobble which started in 2004 and has been increasing in magnitude every year which the Canadian Inuit have been experiencing for the past few years Every Inuit elder asked says the sun does not set where it used to and even the stars are in the wrong place https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UMOKp2Mbofk https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-1OSFYWyDTw
    Go to these links http://poleshift.ning.com/profiles/blogs/determine-your-safe-locations http://www.zetatalk.com/info/tinfo242.htm to find safe locations for free TO survive the coming geological pole shift
    What is the geological pole shift? What causes it? this is https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N2ScTLhPWDw zeta movie part 1 talks about historical evidence of past geological pole shifts http://vimeo.com/9104959 zeta movie part 2[A] talks about when the elite learned about and plan to do about the geological pole shift http://vimeo.com/21878441 zeta movie part 2[B] talks about the months and years leading upto the geological pole shift and the coming cataclysms http://vimeo.com/57677328

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