A True Statement From The Experts

“There is less than a 1-in-27 million chance that Earth’s record hot streak is natural”

I am completely in agreement. The “record hot streak” is undoubtedly Mann-made – by the people who work at NCDC, CRU and GISS. Each of the animations below show how the past has been cooled and the present warmed in official government graphs, as time progresses.

Essentially all global warming since 1940 is due to data tampering by a small handful of Climategate personalities.

Changes to GISS surface temperature from 2003 to 2014


Changes to GISS surface temperature between 1981 and 1991, and between 1981 and 2014


Changes to Northern Hemisphere surface temperature between the 1975 National Academy of Sciences Report, and current CRUTEM


Changes to GISS US temperatures between 1999 and 2014


Changes to NCDC US temperatures from 1991 to 2014


Changes to GISS Iceland temperatures between V2 and V3


Changes to GISS Alice Springs temperature between V2 and V3


About stevengoddard

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29 Responses to A True Statement From The Experts

  1. omanuel says:

    These Experts Are Propaganda Artists Working for FOOLS, ABSOLUTE FOOLS

    The internet played a major role in exposing wannabe world tyrants as fools who tried to hide the source of energy that destroyed Hiroshima . . .

    and ended up blinding themselves to the Alpha and Omega – the Creator, Destroyer & Sustainer of every atom, living cell and world in the entire Solar System – FOOLS, ABSOLUTE FOOLS !

    Now the public has no choice but to replace these fools and their armies of “scientists” who used public funds to deceive the public:

    See: “Solar energy,” Adv. Astronomy (submitted for on-line review, 6 Jan 2015)

    Click to access Solar_Energy_For_Review.pdf

  2. gator69 says:

    Nicely done Tony! Catching that Freudian Slip, and related data fraud, is a priceless

  3. Robertv says:

    He who controls etc

  4. emsnews says:

    It was ROARING HOT during the 1890!

    This cooling down of the past is so irritating. But then I had this discussion last night with a Vermont woman liberal where I told her, it is getting colder and colder up here and we are in trouble thanks to global cooling.

    “it is hot in CALIFORNIA!’ she cried. ‘And Australia!’ ‘But not HERE,’ I pointed out to her. ‘Or 80% of the entire North American continent’.

    She made a sneering face, probably thinking I was a stupid ‘denialist’ and thus, ‘insane’. And then stepped out into the severe cold barely above zero.

    • Gail Combs says:

      It is not even hot in California, they just quit using the thermometers in the mountains and do ‘Kriging’ from the beaches and deserts!

      5 March 2010 It’s Cold, Just Ask The Tomatoes

      The Tomato Knows

      E.M. makes the comment:
      ” It happened a few decades back too. I have foggy memories of “ask for a tomato” on your Burger King and “no tomato salad bars”.

      I want to clarify what actually happened. It had nothing to do with temperature and everything to do with politics. (so what’s new)

      The actual problem was e-coli infected tomatoes and other veggies coming up from Mexico had their labels switched. (Source: Truck Driver who saw it happening and was threatened with having his license yanked when he tried to report it to DOT.)

      The Mexican veggies were grown where a cave was used both for sewage disposal and for drinking water. This lead to a e-coli food poisoning outbreak. Since the US government had been trying to get a version of the Food Safety Modernization Act passed since 1996, the Florida tomatoes growers were blamed and had to destroy their entire crop. They later did the same to Texas and California over salmonella. US farmers got the blame in MSM Headlines while Mexico got nailed in fine print in some USDA/FDA/CDC documents months later after the US crops were destroyed. Sound familiar?

      Most of the links are long gone but here are a couple.



    • gofer says:

      But then, why is it called GLOBAL warming if its only regional? Its only regional that matters. That really frustrates them.

    • Andy Oz says:

      We’ve had couple of hot days this summer after a very nice Spring.
      The BOM keep saying Australia is doomed but no Aussies have yet died from Climate Change. That may happen this winter when poor people are forced to turn off the heat because idiots have made energy so expensive here with their carbon regulations.

  5. At this rate, the 1880s will be a devastating ice age.

  6. Radical Rodent says:

    I do hope the original data has not been destroyed, else those who want to apply genuine science to this study (a long, long time in the future, I suspect) will be well-snookered.

  7. Beau Jeste says:

    Anything to do with SRM and geoengineering?

  8. sabretoothed says:

    Temperatures should be adjusted downwards due to larger cities, less trees. But instead they are adjusted upwards, and even with adjusting it upwards it hasn’t even warmed for 18 years with the “Adjusted temperature of earth” with no error bars

  9. sabretoothed says:

    But according to the Temperature of Earth line, this should have been a devastating Ice Age http://www.bom.gov.au/lam/climate/levelthree/c20thc/drought1.htm

    • Gail Combs says:

      The earth is certainly not going to warm catastrophically for another 65 kyr.

      A Pliocene-Pleistocene stack of 57 globally distributed benthic D18O records
      Lisiecki & Raymo
      We present a 5.3-Myr stack (the ‘‘LR04’’ stack) of benthic d18O records from 57 globally distributed sites aligned by an automated graphic correlation algorithm. This is the first benthic d18O stack composed of more than three records to extend beyond 850 ka,…

      Recent research has focused on MIS 11 as a possible analog for the present interglacial [e.g., Loutre and Berger, 2003; EPICA Community Members, 2004] because both occur during times of low eccentricity. The LR04 age model establishes that MIS 11 spans two precession cycles, with d18O values below 3.6% for 20 kyr, from 398 – 418 ka. In comparison, stages 9 and 5 remained below 3.6% for 13 and 12 kyr, respectively, and the Holocene interglacial has lasted 11 kyr so far. In the LR04 age model, the average LSR of 29 sites is the same from 398– 418 ka as from 250–650 ka; consequently, stage 11 is unlikely to be artificially stretched. However, the 21 June insolation minimum at 65°N during MIS 11 is only 489 W/m2, much less pronounced than the present minimum of 474 W/m2. In addition, current insolation values are not predicted to return to the high values of late MIS 11 for another 65 kyr. We propose that this effectively precludes a ‘‘double precession cycle’’ interglacial [e.g., Raymo, 1997] in the Holocene without human influence….

      The Holocene interglacial is now 11,717 years old. That’s two centuries or so beyond half the present precession cycle (or 23,000/2=11,500). So the little Ice Age was about the right time for glaciatial inception. However we had the Modern Grand Solar Minimum – A History of Solar Activity over Millennia

      Will the earth descend into glaciation or be a ‘‘double precession cycle’’ interglacial? That is still being argued although the above paper carries a lot of weight. A newer paper from the fall of 2012 a href=”http://www.clim-past.net/8/1473/2012/cp-8-1473-2012.pdf”>Can we predict the duration of an interglacial? agrees and gives the calculated solar insolation values @ 65N on June 22 for several glacial inceptions:

      Current value – insolation = 479W m−2 (from that paper)

      MIS 7e – insolation = 463 W m−2,
      MIS 11c – insolation = 466 W m−2,
      MIS 13a – insolation = 500 W m−2,
      MIS 15a – insolation = 480 W m−2,
      MIS 17 – insolation = 477 W m−2

      (Changes near the north polar area, about 65 degrees North, are considered important due to the great amount of land. Land masses respond to temperature change more quickly than oceans.)

      You can see why there is an argument. Solar insolation isn’t a cut and dried measure for glacial inception. Steve BTW thinks the Holocene will go long. Autumn and winter are occur at the closest approach of the earth to the sun for the northern hemisphere, the earth is moving at its maximum velocity and autumn and winter are shorter than spring and summer. This is the reason for the debate.

      Of interest is a possible link between Solar Minimums and greater volcanic action.
      Volcanic eruptions and solar activity

      Sun/dust correlations and volcanic interference

      The Role of Explosive Volcanism During the Cool Maunder Minimum

      Study of Dust in Ice Cores Shows Volcanic Eruptions Interfere with the Effect of Sunspots on Global Climate

      Sun’s Activity Linked to Largest Earthquakes and Volcanoes by John Casey

    • Gail Combs says:

      A little more about the point of debate:

      Autumn and winter are occur at the closest approach of the earth to the sun for the northern hemisphere, the earth is moving at its maximum velocity and autumn and winter are shorter than spring and summer.

      This is ih the SWAG catagory.
      One of my long ago geology courses brought up the point that it wasn’t the COLD that cased glaciation but the amount of snow in the winter that did not melt in the summer.

      Since it is the Norther Hemisphere that develops the great ice sheets that is what we want to look at.

      Colder usually means drier. It just can’t snow much when the air is very very cold. That is why Antarctica is the driest place on earth.

      You need sunlight/warmth to cause the air to suck up moisture and then you need cold air to form snow. If you look at this winter and last winter you have the ‘Polar Vortex’ bringing very cold air down from the arctic. However you also have the ‘loop’ in the jet stream bringing warm moist air up from the equator. When the two meet you get a major dump of snow causing the Greek islands to be buried under 6½ ft (2 m) of snow Another example is last winter when Scotland’s mountains got up to 50 feet of snow and almost 300 “snow patches” remaining in Highland mountains forming compacted, dense, ice hard snow called neve, which is considered the first stage in the formation of glaciers.

      Or in 2012, Endless Winter for Alaska’s Mountains

      Next you need cool summers. At this stage the earth is farthest from the sun during the Northern Hemisphere summer. However the summers are longer.

      There is another factor everyone ignores and that is the sea ice in the Antarctica.

      The Humboldt Current that goes up the coast of South America turns West before it reaches the equator this is part of the dynamics of ENSO and whether an El Nino will form. The Humbolt current “is a cold, low-salinity ocean current that flows north along the west coast of South America from the southern tip of Chile to northern Peru.” (WIKI)

      “The Benguela Current is also augmented somewhat by the West Wind Drift, a current which flows easterly around Antarctica. As the West Wind Drift flows past Cape Horn, that part in the immediate vicinity of the cape is called the Cape Horn Current. This current rounds the cape and flows in a northerly and northeasterly direction along the coast of South America as the Falkland or Malvinas Current
      CHAPTER 31 OCEAN CURRENTS: TYPES AND CAUSES OF CURRENTS (Maritime Safety Information good map of currents)

      The Antarctic Circumpolar Current ( West Wind Drift), by far the world’s strongest, is a wind driven current and it is the only one that connects all ocean basins. Sea ice narrowing both Drake Passage and the passage at the tip of Africa could have major effects on how the winds interact with the ocean and therefore the cold water currents running up the coast of South America and Africa. This in turn could effect ENSO (El Nino) and the gulf stream in the Atlantic.

      These papers shows why we need to pay attention to what is happening with Antarctic sea ice and not the Arctic.

      Effect of Drake Passage on the global thermohaline circulation

      -The Ekman divergence around Antarctica raises a large amount of deep water to the ocean’ surface. The regional Ekman transport moves the up-welled deep water northward out of the circumpolar zone. The divergence and northward surface drift combine, in effect, to remove deep water from the interior of the ocean. This wind-driven removal process is facilitated by a unique dynamic constraint operating in the latitude band containing Drake Passage. Through a simple model sensitivity experiment WC show that the upwelling and removal of deep water in the circumpolar belt may be quantitatively related to the formation of new deep water in the northern North Atlantic. These results show that stronger winds in the south can induct more deep water formation in the north and more deep outflow through the South Atlantic. The fact that winds in the southern hemisphere might influence the formation of deep water in the North Atlantic brings into question long-standing notions about the forces that drive the ocean’ thermohaline s circulation.

      Research on Drakes Passage today:


      The experiments address a fundamental question of how the circulation of the ocean works. Since the global overturning circulation is apparently sensitive to wind even in regions where the ocean has eastern and western boundaries, it may be influenced by wind outside the Drake Passage latitudes. However, our results indicate that the unique geometry of the Drake Passage latitudes does make the global circulation – and perhaps the climate of the North Atlantic – especially sensitive to wind there.

      Drake Passage and palaeoclimate

      ABSTRACT: The effect of Drake Passage on the Earth’s climate is examined using an idealised coupled model. It is found that the opening of Drake Passage cools the high latitudes of the southern hemisphere by about 3°C and warms the high latitudes of the northern hemisphere by nearly the same amount. This study also attempts to determine whether the width and depth of the Drake Passage channel is likely to be an important factor in the thermal response. A deeper channel is shown to produce more southern cooling but the magnitude of the effect is not large. Channel geometry is relatively unimportant in the model because of a haline response that develops when the channel is first opened up.

      South America and Australia separated from Antarctica between 20 and 40 million years ago, isolating Antarctica and the South Pole behind a continuous band of ocean water. The palaeoceanographic record shows that this separation led to the accumulation of glacial ice on Antarctica and an abrupt cooling of the ocean’s deep water (Kennett, 1977). Both effects persist to this day. The palaeoceanographic record gives every indication that the isolation of Antarctica was a major step in climate evolution.

      Today, the band of open water around Antarctica is most restricted between the tip of South America and the Palmer Peninsula, a feature known as Drake Passage. In one of the earliest scientific papers written about the output of an ocean general circulation model, Gill and Bryan (1971) showed how a gap such as Drake Passage alters the ocean’s meridional circulation and heat transport. With Drake Passage closed, the ocean transports heat southward by moving warm water poleward near the surface. Cooling at the Antarctic margin leads to deep-water formation and the northward flow of cold water at depth. With Drake Passage open, warm upper ocean water from the north is unable to flow into or across the channel because there is no net east–west pressure gradient to balance the effect of the Earth’s rotation. The ocean’s ability to transport heat southward is thereby diminished. Cox (1989), England (1992) and Mikolajewicz et al. (1993) carried out similar experiment…..

      Research on Drakes Passage today: http://climate.gmu.edu/research/drake.php


      The experiments address a fundamental question of how the circulation of the ocean works. Since the global overturning circulation is apparently sensitive to wind even in regions where the ocean has eastern and western boundaries, it may be influenced by wind outside the Drake Passage latitudes. However, our results indicate that the unique geometry of the Drake Passage latitudes does make the global circulation – and perhaps the climate of the North Atlantic – especially sensitive to wind there.

      • rah says:

        Earths orbital eccentricity is close to it’s minimum. Currently the earths axial tilt is at about 23.45 deg down from 24.5 degrees just 1,000 years ago. So earths tilt is still near it’s maximum. Precession is thought to be the most important influence on Earth’s climate and currently Earth is closest to the Sun during the Northern Hemisphere winter (IOW right now) and furthest away during the Northern Hemisphere summer.

        Currently only one of the three conditions which are though to have led to the onset of glaciation during recent geologic time exists. That is Perihelion during Northern Hemisphere winter.

        Recent Ice Core data indicates that the interglacial period 400,000 years ago closely matches the conditions of our own interglacial period and that warm spell lasted 28,000 years ago. So it may just be that we still have about 16,000 years of relatively warm climate to come. But who the hell really knows?

        • Gail Combs says:

          As I said there is a lot of debate by the Quaternary Scientists over the subject.

          Chronis Tzedakis, in an exhaustive look at the MIS-1/MIS-11/MIS-19 conundrum (Tzedakis, 2010, The MIS 11 – MIS 1 analogy, southern European vegetation, atmospheric methane and the “early anthropogenic hypothesis”, Climate of the Past, vol. 6, pp 131-144, European Geosciences Union) said this about the:

          While the astronomical analogy between MIS 1 and MIS11 has been incorporated in mainstream literature, there is a distinct difference between the two intervals: the Holocene contains one insolation peak so far, while the MIS 11 interval of full interglacial conditions (Substage 11c of the marine isotopic stratigraphy) extends over two insolation peaks. Thus an interesting situation has arisen with regard to the precise alignment of the two intervals….

          ….. With the end of MIS 11 full interglacial conditions and the start of ice accumulation estimated to have occurred at ∼395 kyr BP (de Abreu et al., 2005; Ruddiman 2005a, 2007), the precessional alignment would suggest that the Holocene is nearing its end, while the obliquity alignment would suggest it has another 12 000 years to run its course.

          …. a dichotomy has emerged over the precise chronological alignment of the two intervals, with one solution favouring a synchronization of the precession signal
          and another of the obliquity signal. The two schemes lead to different implications over the natural length of the current interglacial…

          …In this view, the two Terminations are incommensurate and MIS-1 is analogous only to the second part of MIS-11c….

          On balance, what emerges is that projections on the natural duration of the current interglacial depend on the choice of analogue, while corroboration or refutation of the “early anthropogenic hypothesis” on the basis of comparisons with earlier interglacials remains irritatingly inconclusive.


  10. Do you have links to the data that make these graphs? I am interested in those because without it the warmists will deny the graphs.

  11. smamarver says:

    I think that climate is a very complex phenomenon and that many of those who are writing about this subject should first understand it. I also believe that climate change was influenced by humans and by their actions on sea/ocean. Finally, I’m sure that there will be no catastrophy in the future, the present problems come from those who publish altered datas. Finally, I recommend them a very concise article about the 20th century climatic changes: http://www.1ocean-1climate.com/climate-changes-today.php

    • rah says:

      As terrible and vast as some wars have been it will take a heck of a lot to convince me that any war anywhere has had much of anything to do with changing even a regional climate in any but the most temporary and transient ways. WW II was greatest Naval war in the history of Mankind and I have studied it pretty extensively. It seems to me that Climate and weather had a great impact on the conduct of that war but the war had virtually no demonstrable impact on the climate or weather. This given the facts that The Battle of the Atlantic was the longest battle of WW II and never before or since have such fleets as plied the waters of the Pacific near the end ever existed. Not just the warships, auxiliaries, and port and coastal units but the huge and long Naval logistical tails required to sustain those fleets and the islands that were invaded, occupied, and turned into bases. In fact I would suspect that the massive deforestation along the fronts of WW I would have impacted climate more than the Naval war of WW II.

  12. smamarver says:

    Here are more facts that try to support my idea: http://www.2030climate.com/a2005/04_11-Dateien/04_11.html. “The war at sea may have, ‘by force’, imposed many changes to the ocean waters. Thereupon the oceans will generate a ‘blueprint’ for the atmosphere. The atmosphere will fall in line within a short period of time. Subsequent ‘oceanic conditions’ are the decisive factor of climate.Quite different from the interaction between ocean and atmosphere is presumably the reaction time between the in-put and out-put a war at sea has on ocean composition and property. Every sea water change inevitable will influence the status of the atmosphere. It might happen within a couple of hours, within a few months, years, or generations.”

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