Real Science

Another TOBS Test

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Testing TOBS by station removal is a little tricky because morning stations tend to be in warmer parts of the country, so diverging regional trends affect the result. But one state had a 50/50 mix of morning/afternoon stations in July 1936.

There are 26 HCN stations in Missouri and 13 of them took readings either at morning or night during July, 1936. These 13 stations would tend to be biased cold in the 1930’s according to TOBS theory.

I compared the cold stations vs. all stations, and there is essentially no difference. TOBS is 99% BS.

Based largely on their phony TOBS adjustment, NCDC turns a cooling trend in Missouri into a warming trend.

Here is the list of morning/night stations from July, 1936

APPLETON CITY       	MO	USC00230204
CLINTON             	MO	USC00231711
FARMINGTON          	MO	USC00232809
JEFFERSON CITY WTP  	MO	USC00234271
LAMAR 2W            	MO	USC00234705
LEBANON 2W          	MO	USC00234825
LEES SUMMIT REED WR 	MO	USC00234850
LEXINGTON 3E        	MO	USC00234904
MEXICO              	MO	USC00235541
MOBERLY             	MO	USC00235671
MTN GROVE 2 N       	MO	USC00235834
SPICKARD 7 W        	MO	USC00237963
UNIONVILLE          	MO	USC00238523

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