How The 1998 El Nino Went Over To The Dark Side

In 1998, the El Nino was hailed by climate scientists as proof that they deserved funding forever. It was like hitting the jackpot at Las Vegas.

ScreenHunter_8434 Apr. 07 08.49ScreenHunter_8435 Apr. 07 08.50

But seventeen years later, the 1998 El Nino is now considered evil, an aberration which must be ignored. Ridicule is heaped on anyone who makes a graph which includes the 1998 El Nino.

However, the next El Nino to appear on the right side of the graph will be cited as proof that climate scientists deserve funding forever.

About stevengoddard

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18 Responses to How The 1998 El Nino Went Over To The Dark Side

    • Wow… what a trend… I think I have the issue solved.. every time I go outside the Climate Changes… Climate Change is totally dependent on ME!!…

      Its cold outside… now its warm inside my CO2 spewing SUV.. Climate Model says its going to stink in a few minutes… yepp… just blew a farrttt and it stinks… methane release caused the microclimate in my SUV to change… temps have shot up …

  1. Elaine Supkis says:

    We have to get rid of ALL ‘blips’ forever. Thus the hockey stick is preserved.

  2. gator69 says:

    Gavin playing with his models again?

  3. ren says:

    You can see that in the 70s AMO index was the lowest value. We remember that the solar cycle was weaker. Now AMO will also decrease faster. I greet Vukcevic.
    http://www.vukcevic.talktalk.net/SUN-and-AMO.htm

  4. darrylb says:

    There are so many hypothesis of what causes natural climate changes, I suspect that the actual case may be a blend of many cyclical events.
    For at least a decade scientists in Russia have been strongly projecting a cooling phase.

    One unique hypothesis which I think has some merit is that an additional motion of the earth from that which is most familiar to us, is an oscillating motion at right angles to the plane of the solar system. I do not know what the period of the oscillation is hypothesized to be.

    • gator69 says:

      Nobody knows. That is why models are crap. Whenever I get a zealot on the line, I ask them to list all climate forcings, order them from most to least effective, and then quantify them.

      Turns know-it-alls into blithering idiots.

  5. sfx2020 says:

    Who discovered the El Nino?

    https://ams.confex.com/ams/annual2003/techprogram/paper_58909.htm

    Interesting stuff, especially the solar issue.

  6. ren says:

    Warm (>+0.5oC; red stippled line) and cold (<0.5oC; blue stippled line) episodes for the Oceanic Niño Index (ONI), defined as 3 month running mean of ERSST.v3b SST anomalies in the Niño 3.4 region (5oN-5oS, 120o-170oW)]. Base period: 1971-2000. For historical purposes cold and warm episodes are defined when the threshold is met for a minimum of 5 consecutive over-lapping seasons. The thin line indicates 3 month average values, and the thick line is the simple running 7 year average of these. Last 3 month running mean shown: December 2014 – February 2015. Last diagram update 6 March 2015.

  7. Alec aka Daffy Duck says:

    Major/strong el Niños becoming less frequent…

    There has not been a major/strong El Niño for over 17 years!

    Using +1.8 peak as the minimum, 3-month-season, and counting from the start year of the El Niño

    1957, +1.8, then 8 years
    1965, +1.9, then 7 years
    1972, +2.1, then 10 years
    1982, +2.2, then 4 years
    1986-88, +1.6 BUT it lasted 19 months/2 seasons … then 9 years
    1997, +2.4, then 17 and still counting…

    17+ year without a major/strong El Niño is puzzling.

  8. ren says:

    Circulation does not indicate El Niño.

  9. Ah YES!! …. Continually diminish the past while hyping high temperatures TODAY!!… Brilliantly evil… continues the funding forever…

    Just as Tony has shown us all on this Blog… constant barrage and hysteria from 100+ years ago… reads the same as the shit put forth today… “Earth Warming”… “Changes at the Poles”… “Sea Level Rising”… same shit… going back a hundred years… yet we’re all still alive… Manhattan is not under water..

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