My Arctic Forecast

Arctic sea ice extent is tracking just below 2006, the year with the highest summer minimum of the past decade.

ScreenHunter_9968 Jul. 24 10.00

Ocean and Ice Services | Danmarks Meteorologiske Institut

Cold air has settled in over the Beaufort Sea and Greenland

ScreenHunter_9969 Jul. 24 10.0310-Day Temperature Outlook

Greenland’s surface has gained nearly 300 billion tons of ice over the past year.

ScreenHunter_9970 Jul. 24 10.05

Greenland Ice Sheet Surface Mass Budget: DMI

The Arctic Basin is nearly full of ice, except for the Chukchi and East Siberian Seas

ScreenHunter_9967 Jul. 24 09.58

There will continue to be some slow melting for the next few weeks.

My forecast is that climate criminals like James Hansen will continue their desperate lies about polar melt, in order to keep the public and government officials misinformed ahead of the Paris summit. There is no large scale Polar meltdown. It is one piece of the biggest fraud in history.

About stevengoddard

Just having fun
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25 Responses to My Arctic Forecast

  1. rah says:

    Why is that satellite image oriented like that? It would be a lot easier for dummies like me to get oriented quickly if the 90 deg longitude line were oriented vertically or perhaps if the Prime Meridian were made bold.

  2. rah says:

    Oh, and BTW I’m sorry it appears that your forecast for 2015 tracking the 2006 extent is going to be off but quite happy you were so quick to show that fact. It confirms your ethically way above from those that you highlight here who’s predictions have been so egregiously in error.

    I also have noted that over at WUWT they are starting to imitate your Modus operendi of calling out those who have made failed predictions even if the principles there have as yet failed to admit they were wrong about the various government agencies willfully producing fraudulent “data”. Imitation is after all the ultimate form of flattery.

    • 2015 is tracking 2006 quite closely. I never made any forecast.

      • rah says:

        You did not say earlier this year that you believed that 2015 extent would track 2006 extent?

        • I said it was tracking 2006 extent. I never make long term Arctic sea ice forecasts.

        • rah says:

          Well I’m glad that you have made that clear to me before Jim Hunt shows up again. In fact, now that I think about it, it was probably from his posts I got the impression you made such a forecast.

        • Jim Hunt says:

          I’m back! Let me go check my records. Meanwhile take a look at this:

        • gator69 says:

          So what did Gore say after you confronted him over his outrageous alarmist comments regarding the Arctic that he made on a world stage?

          Because you are all about correcting the record! Right killer?

        • AndyG55 says:

          Yo, Jimmy-boi.

          Are you ready to admit that low Arctic sea ice is actually the norm for the Holocene, and that compared to the last 10,000 years, Arctic sea ice is actually anomalously high.

          Until you are prepared to ADMIT THE TRUTH, you are nothing but a whining jackass. !!

        • Jim Hunt says:

          I’ve managed to turn up this, volume from Steve’s beloved DMI:

        • gator69 says:

          So how much time have you spent this past month convincing climate alarmists to reallocate resources to save starving children? I would love to hear about your efforts.

        • AndyG55 says:


          Until you are prepared to ADMIT THE TRUTH, you are nothing but a whining jackass. !!

        • gator69 says:

          The correct phrase is “braying jackass”.

          But then comparing “Jimmy the Food Denier” to a jackass, is insulting to jackasses.

        • AndyG55 says:

          I stand corrected, and apologise to all jackasses for insulting them.

          The worms are also getting annoyed about being linked to jimmy-boi.

      • Jim Hunt says:

        Here’s a closeup of the DMI 30% threshold extent. Looks like we’ll need to tie you down to a definition of “tracking quite closely” Steve!

        • AndyG55 says:

          Still, you and everyone else knows that the only reason there is still SO MUCH Arctic sea ice is that the Arctic temperature is really only a touch above the coldest period of last 10,000 years.

          Come on jimmy-boi, you mentally deficit amoeba, ADMIT IT !!

        • Latitude says:

          Jim, what did you say a month ago when it was exactly that same distance….above the 2006 line?

  3. Dmh says:

    DMI graph for concentration higher than 15% still shows ice extent slightly above the last 2 years,

    I believe it’ll track 2014 closely until September, then go higher for the rest of the year.
    Solar activity seems to have entered the declining phase of the cycle.
    The LSC gave a spotless day for July 23,

    and the total count for this year is also lower than 2013 and 2014

    All these facts bring good prospects for both polar icecaps for the rest of 2015. The only problem I see now is the persistent strong warmth of the Pacific.

    • Tony B says:

      The only problem…is a corrupt bunch of government scientists and media-focussed activists being more than loose with data interpretation to manipulate public opinion to support a desired personal outcome.

  4. DD More says:

    climate criminals like James Hansen
    Is that the same Hansen that was so wrong with measuring temperatures for years that they are having to adjust them all to get them ‘right’?

  5. gator69 says:

    Looks like the real meltdown is the Pope’s popularity…

    Couldn’t happen to a nicer guy.

    • Dear Pope …

      Please note that God is not a collectivist … and neither was His Son. Jesus never preached collective salvation leaving it up to each individual to come to The Father through Him.

  6. inMAGICn says:

    Dear Pope

    Modern Muslims (now THERE’S and oxymoron) declare they must take Jerulsalem, Constantinople, and finally Rome.
    What part of this progression escapes you? (-G’Kar-)?

  7. Beale says:

    This could be the safest forecast ever. Many things can happen with the weather, but Hansen and his like are all too predictable.

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