The turquoise cone below shows NOAA’s Joaquin “Forecast Uncertainty” as of September 30 at 11:32 PM. The hurricane is currently 677 km east of the forecast track, but their forecast uncertainty cone was only 210 km. Their actual uncertainty was more than three times larger than what their model predicted.
Joaquin is currently forecast to move towards Ireland as a strong tropical storm.
These are their good models. Their climate models are completely useless, and have 0% accuracy. Barack Obama then takes impossibly stupid interpretations of completely useless models, and uses them as an excuse to wreck our energy infrastructure. The US press cheers this treachery, and refuses to publish any accurate information.