The Death Spiral of Science By NSIDC

NSIDC has corrupted climate science with graphs like these, purported to show a linear decline in Arctic sea ice since 1979.

2015-11-30-13-41-54

Their choice of 1979 as a start point, hides the fact that Arctic ice is cyclical, not linear. The 1990 IPCC report showed that sea ice extent was two million km² smaller in 1974 than it was in 1979.

2015-11-30-14-25-19

The New York Times reported another large increase in ice prior to 1971.

ScreenHunter_10760 Oct. 10 12.49

TimesMachine: May 21, 1975 – NYTimes.com

There was plenty of satellite data available before 1979. NSIDC could get the data right up the road at NCAR.

2015-11-30-09-20-36

TECH-NOTE-000-000-000-266.pdf

Arctic sea ice thickness was the same in 1940 as it is now.

PaintImage10

23 Feb 1940 – THE NORTH POLE. Is it Getting Warmer. | BUNDABER…

ScreenHunter_107 Feb. 17 07.17

Papers Past — Auckland Star — 14 December 1940 — WARMER ARCTIC

By starting their plots in 1979, NSIDC is defrauding the public. We went to the moon in 1969 – human intelligence did not begin in 1979.

About stevengoddard

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34 Responses to The Death Spiral of Science By NSIDC

  1. Rico L says:

    5, 4, 3, 2, 1, Hi Martin, how are you today?

  2. AndyG55 says:

    “human intelligence did not begin in 1979.”

    But from the fact that so, so many have fallen for the AGW scam….

    … I strong suspect that human intelligence started into a deep decline around that time.

    • Gail Combs says:

      Agreed. As a teen, I could actually see the decline in education between me and the kids a year younger that I was tutoring in the 1960s and 1970s. I was so obvious a teenager could see it!

  3. AndyG55 says:

    I have continually posted graphics of Mt Baker glaciers, AMO, AMO vs Swiss glaciers etc

    ALL of them show that 1979 was a PEAK in the NATURAL CYCLES in NH ice levels

    To start at 1979 without showing this cyclic behaviour is tantamount to FRAUD.

  4. oz4caster says:

    I remember looking at printed paper-bound books of daily stitched polar orbiting IR satellite imagery from ESSA and Nimbus satellites back in the mid and late 70’s to look at tropical cyclones around the world. I visited the NOAA Pacific satellite center near San Francisco in 1978 and remember seeing their high resolution visible and IR imagery (hi-res for those days) which was not easy to get back then. We usually had to settle for fax imagery back then. The fact that the images were stitched suggests the data is digital and could easily be used. I’m not sure they had all the IR channels that are available now on satellites to help distinguish ice from clouds like on NASA’s Worldview (which I use regularly) with its MODIS imagery (wish they would add VIIRS).

  5. Andy DC says:

    1979 is the mother of all cherry picks for a whole host of climate alarmist scams. 1979 was the coldest year in modern history, after a well documented 40 year period of global cooling.

    So basically what the scamsters are saying is that if it is currently warmer that the coldest year on record, there must be global warming. When in reality, most of the post 1979 temperature increase with non tampered data has simply reflected a return to 1940-1960 normals.

    • sfx2020 says:

      “1979 was the coldest year in modern history”

      I would say 1977 was the coldest, based on several lines of evidence. NCDC global data shows Land/sea was colder in 1965 (-0.17°C), but the surface land data clearly shows 1977 was colder than 1979, at -0.29°C you have to go to 1918 to get a colder land reading. (and yes, the data has been adjusted)

      But the US only station data clearly shows 1977 was the coldest year (since 1918), and even with the adjustments, it’s pretty obvious 1977 was the coldest year. Not that 1979 wasn’t also cold, but 1977 stands out in the actual raw data. Steve should be able to confirm this with his program.

      It doesn’t change the cherry picking, especially for ice data. 77 and 79 were the ending of the global cooling that had been driving the “coming ice age” scare.

      As an interesting aside, Alaska shows the cooling trend ending there with 75 the last really cold year. So it’s probable the cooling trend ended first in the polar regions.

  6. Latitude says:

    Expedition To Study Global Warming Put On Hold Because Of TOO MUCH ICE
    07/22/2015

    An expedition to study the effects of global warming was put on hold Wednesday. The reason? Too much ice.
    The CCGS Amundsen, a Medium Arctic icebreaker and Arctic research vessel operated by the Canadian Coast Guard, was to travel throughout Hudson Bay, a body of water in northeastern Canada, but was rerouted to help ships who were stuck in the icy water.

    A Coast Guard officer said the conditions were the “worst he’s seen in 20 years,”

    http://dailycaller.com/2015/07/22/expedition-to-study-global-warming-put-on-hold-because-of-too-much-ice/

    • AndyG55 says:

      Hey, wait there, isn’t 07/22/2015 summer up there ?

      Or is there a Hudson bay somewhere in Antarctica?

      • Gail Combs says:

        GOREBull WArbling strikes again!

        Glaciation starts in Hudson Bay

        Hudson Bay was the growth centre for the main ice sheet that covered northern North America during the last Ice Age. The whole region has very low year-round average temperatures. (The average annual temperature for Churchill at 59°N is -5 °C; by comparison Arkhangelsk at 64°N in a similar cold continental position in northern Russia has an average of 2 °C.[16]) Water temperature peaks at 8°-9 °C (46°-48 °F) on the western side of the bay in late summer. It is largely frozen over from mid-December to mid-June — WIKI

        August 13, 2015: 2nd highest ice coverage for Hudson Bay since 1971 at mid-August – only 1992 higher

        The sea ice on 25 July 2015. (Note the location of the Great Lakes and think of the record ice the last couple of winters and the 6F below normal summer water temperature.)

        Yeah, Sure, this was the Record Hottest year.

  7. sngj59 says:

    Hi – I’m new here. For the record, I believe global w. = hoax.
    For me, this was a great article, by the way!! I’m actually VERY interested in doing a comparison of NSDIC graph (that I look at almost daily) and the NOAA graph referenced in IPCC 1990 in the article. Any idea if there is one that is maintained on the net. I saw one similar to NDSDIC on the NOAA site (shall we call it an ‘enron’ graph??) here: http://www.arctic.noaa.gov/detect/detection-images/climate-ice-seaice-extent-trend-sep14.png

    There is a visible gap before 1979 – before this article I would’ve assumed it was because there were no reliable records or somefink

    Anyways – let me know fi there is a NOAA graph like the IPCC maintained that I can have a look at
    Also – what is the difference between (a) and (b) above

    Thanks
    Dimitri

  8. dmmcmah says:

    Climate Change DENIERS will FAIL!

    • AndyG55 says:

      Hilarity Clinton = cynical

      Its the ONLY thing she has in her life.

      Monica really F**Ked-up her mind !!!!

    • AndyG55 says:

      Sorry , Hilarity.. but as an anti-CO2 campaign, AGW has FAILED MISERABLY

      China, India, and many other developing countries will ENSURE that emissions of CO2 will continue to climb at a steady or ACCELERATING rate, for at least her miserable, cynical life-time.

      • Gail Combs says:

        Here is hoping she follows Maurice Strong’s lead…

        I really really can not stand that woman.

        • Hitlary will be trumped in ’16

        • Ted says:

          Morgan-

          I sincerely hope you’re right. But the republican establishment is making it pretty clear that they’d prefer Hilary to Trump. And the media doesn’t even try to hide their hatred. That’s a lot of money and power stacked against him.

          Of course, Trump’s ego versus the entire world… That’s a close call. I wouldn’t bet against him.

        • Gail Combs says:

          One of the things Trump has going for him is the hatred the GOPe and the MSM have for him. When they go after him for dinky crap, like: “Donald J. Trump did not correct a man who said President Obama is Muslim, during a town hall event..” (CNN/ NYTimes) they really do come out looking idiotic.

          The trust in the MSM is long gone especially among Republicans and Independents. Only 40% of Americans saying they have “a great deal” or even “a fair amount” of trust in mass media in a 2014 Gallop poll. Another poll said 75 percent of Americans don’t think journalists get the facts right. Gallup also found that 44 percent of all Americans consider the news media to be “too liberal”, while only 19 percent of all Americans consider the news media to be “too conservative” The big networks are losing viewers too. Nielsen Media Research data show that the biggest decline came with MSNBC, which lost nearly a quarter (24%) of its prime-time audience. CNN, under new management, ended its fourth year in third place, with a 13% decline in prime time. Fox, while down 6%, still drew more viewers (1.75 million) than its two competitors combined (619,500 at MSNBC and 543,000 at CNN) http://www.econmatters.com/2014/10/10-reasons-not-to-trust-mainstream-media.html

          This bit was news to me.

          Fox News is not nearly as “conservative” as you think that it is.
          Fox News may be constantly promoting a “Republican agenda”, but that does not mean that it is conservative. This is especially true when it comes to social issues. Some of their anchors are extremely socially liberal, one of the top executives at Fox News is a big Hillary Clinton supporter, and 21st Century Fox/News Corp. has given the Clintons more than 3 million dollars since 1992.

          It gets even worse when you consider politics.

          …most voters doubt the accuracy of political news coverage and think most reporters will slant their coverage of the 2016 presidential campaign.

          A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 61% of Likely U.S. Voters now do not trust the political news they are getting. That’s a 16-point jump from 45% last October. Twenty-one percent (21%) still have confidence in the political coverage they get, but that’s down from 33% in the earlier survey…
          With over 3,400 respondents from across the nation, the Blair-Rockefeller Poll provides a distinctly accurate perspective on how Americans view each other and how they evaluate contemporary public policies….

          When it comes to the 2016 presidential campaign, only 23% believe most reporters will try to offer unbiased coverage. Fifty-nine percent (59%) think that coverage will be slanted instead, with 36% who say most reporters will try to help Hillary Clinton during the campaign… http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/general_politics/may_2015/most_voters_expect_biased_news_coverage_of_2016_presidential_race

          The republicans have never been a rock solid monolithic political base. Also, at least according to the 2010 Blair-Rockefeller report the Tea Party members are not stupid, they are well educated and they are politically savvy.

          …Nearly half of Tea Party members (49.9%) are middle class, with an annual household income of 40 to 100K, another 13.9% make over 100K. Tea Party members are less likely to fall below the poverty level than Non-Tea Party members. The majority (65.3%) of Tea Party members have some college training, with 27.5 % having earned a Bachelor’s Degree or higher. Moreover, only 7.2 % of Tea Party members have less than a high school education, as compared to 13.4 % of Non-Tea Party members. Only 8.6 % of Tea Party members are not working because they have either been laid off temporarily or have lost their job and are looking for work, compared to 10.7% of Non-Tea Party members.

          ….Tea Party Members significantly distinguish themselves from Non-Tea Party members. First, Tea Party Members report voting in record numbers during the 2010 mid-term elections. Specifically, 87.6 % of Tea Party members voted in 2010 for a candidate for the U.S. House of Representatives as compared to 59.3% of Non-Tea Party members. Results in the U. S. Senate races were similar (Table 1). This mass turnout among Tea Party members may account for the substantial media coverage that this relatively small movement has experienced. A second contributing factor may be the political knowledge demonstrated by Tea Party supporters. When asked a battery of “political sophistication” questions—factual questions about the contemporary government—Tea Party members outperformed Non-Tea Party members repeatedly. Specifically, Tea Party members were more likely to correctly identify the jobs held by Attorney General Eric Holder, Chief Justice John Roberts, and Vice President Joe Biden (Table 1). Finally, Tea Party Members share a pessimistic view of the future. 36.9% of Tea Party members think their personal situations will get worse or much worse in the next year, as compared to 23.6% of Non-Tea Party members. Specifically 39.2% of Tea Party Member believe their own personal financial situation will be worse in a year, as compared to 21.9% of Tea Party members. And 62.1% of Tea Party members think the country will get worse or much worse in the next year, as compared to 38.8% of Non-Tea Party members (Table 1)….

  9. oppti says:

    AMO Rules the Artic: http://www.woodfortrees.org/plot/esrl-amo/from:1900
    Lowest point at 1979 and rising since.
    Now on a turn to the cold side.

  10. cfgjd says:

    You forgot to post the data that implies that sea ice area is “cyclical”. Again, simply claiming something does not prove it.

    • The AMO is cyclical, not “cyclical”. I’m not going to post data.

      You are a moron, not a “moron”. Actually you are a *moron* and perhaps a MORON.

    • Gail Combs says:

      The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation

      NOAA:

      What is the AMO?

      The AMO is an ongoing series of long-duration changes in the sea surface temperature of the North Atlantic Ocean, with cool and warm phases that may last for 20-40 years at a time and a difference of about 1°F between extremes. These changes are natural and have been occurring for at least the last 1,000 years.

      How much of the Atlantic are we talking about?

      Most of the Atlantic between the equator and Greenland changes in unison. Some area of the North Pacific also seem to be affected.
      http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/phod/amo_faq.php

      New 2015 paper: Ocean impact on decadal Atlantic climate variability revealed by sea-level observations

      ABSTRACT
      Decadal variability is a notable feature of the Atlantic Ocean and the climate of the regions it influences. Prominently, this is manifested in the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) in sea surface temperatures. Positive (negative) phases of the AMO coincide with warmer (colder) North Atlantic sea surface temperatures. The AMO is linked with decadal climate fluctuations, such as Indian and Sahel rainfall1, European summer precipitation2, Atlantic hurricanes3 and variations in global temperatures4. It is widely believed that ocean circulation drives the phase changes of the AMO by controlling ocean heat content5. However, there are no direct observations of ocean circulation of sufficient length to support this, leading to questions about whether the AMO is controlled from another source6. Here we provide observational evidence of the widely hypothesized link between ocean circulation and the AMO. We take a new approach, using sea level along the east coast of the United States to estimate ocean circulation on decadal timescales. We show that ocean circulation responds to the first mode of Atlantic atmospheric forcing, the North Atlantic Oscillation, through circulation changes between the subtropical and subpolar gyres—the intergyre region7. These circulation changes affect the decadal evolution of North Atlantic heat content and, consequently, the phases of the AMO. The Atlantic overturning circulation is declining8 and the AMO is moving to a negative phase. This may offer a brief respite from the persistent rise of global temperatures4, but in the coupled system we describe, there are compensating effects. In this case, the negative AMO is associated with a continued acceleration of sea-level rise along the northeast coast of the United States9, 10.

    • AndyG55 says:

      Again, cfdopey displays his abject ignorance of all things to do with climate.

      Well done.. I didn’t think even you could keep doing it.

      • Gail Combs says:

        I am not doing it for him. I am doing it to show just how ‘dopey’ the trolls are.

      • Gail Combs says:

        I should also add I put up this stuff mainly for the people who are interested and trying to get a handle on climate.

        • Disillusioned says:

          I appreciate your efforts. I started out giving Gore’s dvd to family and friends. It was evil folks like you, who provided factual information that first led me toward my eventual process of disillusionment about man-made global warming. Please bear with me as I borrow your devil smile now…

        • Gail Combs says:

          Disillusioned,
          It is nice to know that those of us who try to put out decent information do have an impact.

          Thanks

        • Ted says:

          Devil smile??? I always thought Gail was just a KISS fan.

        • Gail Combs says:

          Actually I really like the group Clam Chowder.

          …”It’s a very rude song,” said Kathleen Sobansky, Clam Chowder’s soprano and a Defense Department employee who lives in Bowie. “You really can’t print the name of it.”

          Let’s just say the song involves lonely sailors. Very lonely sailors….
          http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/01/03/AR2006010301218.html

          HMMMmm I bet she is talking about ‘bend over greek sailors’…

        • Disillusioned says:

          Gail, I assure you that folks like you DO have an impact. You’re not just preaching to the choir. Although it is slow, there is attrition – believers are losing ground. (It’s a shame, as AGW falls apart even further, the shrill in the media and from our fascist leaders gets louder.) That’s to be expected, I guess.

          I read more than contribute, and very much enjoy reading your posts here, as well as some other knowledgeable contributors.

          (Ted, hover your mouse over the image and look a the URL at the bottom of your screen – or click on the image)

      • AndyG55 says:

        “Well done.. I didn’t think even you could keep doing it.”

        What I meant to type was..

        Well done.. I didn’t think even he could keep doing it.

        I was thinking that surely, even for him, stupidity is limited…. but apparently not !

  11. Gail Combs says:

    Why is the AMO in control of the Arctic ice melt?

    It is pretty simple. Warm water from the Gulf Stream makes it’s way into the Arctic.

    The density of ice is 0.92 g/mL, and the density of water is 1.0 g/mL or 1.03 for salt water. This means that ice has nine-tenths, or 90 percent of water’s density and therefore around 90 percent of the iceberg is below the water’s surface sitting in water from the Atlantic ocean.

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