US January Warmth Peaked In The 1950s

The warmest Januaries in the US occurred from 1950-1954, when nearly one out of four days was over 60 degrees. Currently less than one January day out of six is over 60 degrees.

Screenshot 2015-12-27 at 03.34.29 PM

The area of the US reaching 60 degrees in January has three peaks in the 1930s, 1950s, and from 1995 to 2005, all reaching about 60% of the US. Over the past decade the areal coverage of January warmth has been close to the mean at about 50% of the country.

Screenshot 2015-12-27 at 03.38.31 PM

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24 Responses to US January Warmth Peaked In The 1950s

  1. Pierre Gosselin at NoTricksZone wrote today:

    Joe Bastardi Blasts Claims 2015 Christmas Was US Warmest: “Ridiculous” … “Lies And Deception” …”False Missives”!

    At his always interesting Saturday Summary at Weatherbell Analytics here, veteran meteorologist Joe Bastardi confirms what Tony Heller’s Real Science posted a couple of days ago: December 24, 1955 was warmer than the impressively warm December 24, 2015. It goes to show that you simply cannot judge climate based on a single weather event.

    Read the rest of the story here:

    http://notrickszone.com/2015/12/27/joe-bastardi-blasts-claims-2015-christmas-was-us-warmest-ridiculous-lies-and-deception-false-missives

    • Thermometers don’t lie, but climate scientists do.

      • catweazle666 says:

        Come on Steve, if it’s a choice between believing a $10 thermometer or a $100,000,000 computer game climate model, which would you believe?

        “The data doesn’t matter. We’re not basing our recommendations on the data. We’re basing them on the climate models.”

        ~ Prof. Chris Folland ~ (Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research)

        • The data doesn’t matter. Karl Marx says reality doesn’t matter, only thoughts matter. Existential materialism says we don’t need to look at thermometers.

        • gofer says:

          “The models are convenient fictions
          that provide something very useful.”

          – Dr David Frame,
          climate modeler, Oxford University

        • catweazle666 says:

          gofer: “The models are convenient fictions
          that provide something very useful.”

          – Dr David Frame,
          climate modeler, Oxford University

          Yes, they provide the modellers with a living wage, and boost sales of supercomputers.

          Apart from that…

  2. Martin Smith says:

    Q1: Is the U.S. Surface Temperature Record Reliable?
    A recent study conducted by scientists at NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Information found no evidence that the U.S. temperature trend is inflated by poor siting of stations that comprise the US Historical Climatology Network (USHCN).
    NCEI scientists conducted this study to determine the reliability of surface temperature trends over the conterminous U.S. (CONUS) following photographic documentation of poor siting conditions at USHCN stations.
    A comparison of trends derived from poorly and well-sited USHCN stations indicates that there is a bias associated with poor exposure sites in the unadjusted USHCN version 2 data (relative to data from good exposure sites). However, this bias is consistent with previous studies documenting the impact of the widespread conversion to electronic sensors in the USHCN during the last 25 years because the majority of poor exposure sites were subject to this instrument change.
    Of significant note, the sign of the bias is counterintuitive to photographic documentation of poor exposure because associated instrument changes led to an artificial negative (“cool”) bias in maximum temperatures and only a slight positive (“warm”) bias in minimum temperatures.
    Adjustments largely account for the impact of instrument and siting changes but appear to leave a small overall residual negative (“cool”) bias in the adjusted USHCN version 2 CONUS average maximum temperature.
    The adjusted USHCN CONUS temperatures are well aligned with recent measurements from NOAA’s U.S. Climate Reference Network (designed with the highest climate monitoring standards for siting and instrument exposure), thus providing independent evidence that the USHCN provides an accurate measure of the U.S. temperature.
    The results of this study underscore the need to consider all changes in observation practice when determining the impacts of siting irregularities.
    Information on the siting characteristics of USHCN stations and additional details on this study
    These results are documented in: Menne, M.J., C.N. Williams, Jr., and M.A. Palecki, 2010: On the reliability of the U.S. surface temperature record. J. Geophys. Res. doi:10.1029/2009JD013094.
    https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/monitoring-references/faq/temperature-monitoring.php

  3. Martin Smith says:

    Q5: Are there still biases in the data we use to calculate global and U.S. temperatures?
    Part of our post dataset production quality assurance is to test the data to see if we can identify any biases in them. Alleged biases have been investigated as follows:

    We identified which GHCN stations were rural and which were urban. Then we created global temperature time series from the rural only stations and compared that to our full dataset. The result was that the two showed almost identical time series (actually the rural showed a little bit more warming) so there apparently was no lingering urban heat island bias in the adjusted GHCN dataset.
    The USHCN ‘time of observations’ adjustment was reevaluated using data that did not contribute to the original calculation of the adjustment. The results indicated that on a national average the adjustment was very accurate.
    https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/monitoring-references/faq/temperature-monitoring.php

    • Ted says:

      Then why do the adjustments keep increasing?

      In other news, The Obama administration has investigated the Obama administration regarding charges of corruption, voter fraud, perjury, racism, sexism, gun running… Pretty much everything up to, and including, murder. In every case, the Obama administration has cleared the Obama administration of any wrong doing.

      Well, I’m convinced. Why would they lie?

      • Gail Combs says:

        “…Then why do the adjustments keep increasing?…”

        Spectacular hockey stick of data tampering, which cools the past and warms the present.

        The increase in the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere correlates almost perfectly with the temperature data ‘adjustments’.

        How do they achieve this?
        NOAA MAKES THE DATA UP!!!!
        Infilling of fabricated temperatures is causing the vast majority of reported warming since 1990.

        The divergence coincides with the beginning of wide scale station data loss not only in the USA but world wide. In 1990 Canada also got a ‘haircut’

        Mostly in the north. (Black Triangle is the sations used)
        From over 600 individual temperature series and more than 540 combined series with records of more than 20 years, the thermometer record in Canada peaked in approx. 1975

        By 2009 there are less than 30 locations reporting temperature that are used by the Global Historical Climate Network (GHCN). The most obvious ‘hole’ is the lack of stations above latitude 60N. Yukon, Nunavut and Northwest Territories make up 39% of Canada, but between them have only four stations: Dawson and Whitehorse (Y), Eureka and Coral Harbour (NT).

      • Martin Smith says:

        >Then why do the adjustments keep increasing?

        They don’t, Ted. The recent NOAA adjustment, which Steven and all of you railed against here, actually lowered the trend. And it is the trend we’re interested in here, mainly.

        • gator69 says:

          You are a liar.

          The fact that Marty is a liar has been well documented here…

          https://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2015/12/28/simple-physics-settled-science/#comment-561978

        • Jason Calley says:

          “The recent NOAA adjustment, which Steven and all of you railed against here, actually lowered the trend. And it is the trend we’re interested in here, mainly.”

          There is no such thing as THE trend. There are, in fact, countless trends, for example, “the linear trend from 1880 to 2015” or “the second order trend from 1950 to 2015”, or “the linear trend from 1997 to 2015”. In the last almost two decades, the linear trend was approximately zero for so long that it was clear evidence that the climate models were running too hot and did not reflect the real world. Instead of fixing the models (which may not be actually fixable since we are dealing with a chaotic system where the islands of stability are not well known) the “climate scientists” changed the temperature numbers. They did this by mixing poor data with better data. While this did truly slightly lower the linear trend from 1880 to 2015, the more important change (from the CAGW point of view) is that it increased the linear trend from 1997 to 2015. Viola! Embarrassing zero trend of recent pause disappeared! All they had to do was renounce their scientific integrity.

        • Gail Combs says:

          OH what IRONY!
          M. Winston Smith posts his lie right under all the graphs, from several investigators proving he is lying.

          I really think he is working for our side and doing his darnedest to make Alarmists look even more stupid and sleazy then they already are.

        • gator69 says:

          Hey Gail! Marty is trying his best to be the most stupid and sleazy troll we have yet seen, and you missed his latest lie-fest.

          Martin Smith says:
          December 29, 2015 at 10:55 am
          Sorry, gator, gotta go. I don’t know why Steven allows you to post here. You and gail and Andy clog up his blog with childishness.

          https://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2015/12/28/simple-physics-settled-science/#comment-562016

        • Gail Combs says:

          OH WOW gator,
          M. Winston Smith is calling PEER-REVIEWED SCIENCE papers childishness!

          Yuppers that has to be the funniest thing he has said to date.

        • Ted says:

          Martin-

          WHY DO THE ADJUSTMENTS CHANGE AT ALL???????

          You’re arguing that the adjustments have been proven correct. It doesn’t matter whether they go up, down, or spiral to the left. Either the adjustments are correct, or they’re not. You don’t get to claim that EVERY guess is right, until the next guess comes along, which is once again right. Mutually exclusive answers can’t both be right.

        • Ted says:

          Gail-

          I think you’re mixing people up. It’s cfgjd who cares about peer review. Martin only recognizes papers if they’re cartoonist reviewed.

        • gator69 says:

          To paraphrase Ted, Marty only reads the funny papers.😉

    • Susan Lautz says:

      Just a question, Martin. Do you drive a car? How do you heat and cool your home? Do you have/use a refrigerator, microwave, washing machine, TV? How do you power all these things, including your computer?

    • gator69 says:

      JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

      http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2010JD015146/abstract

      According to the best-sited stations, the diurnal temperature range in the lower 48 states has no century-scale trend.

      The current rating of surface stations (82.5% surveyed) as of 07/30/2012

      CRN Rating:
      CRN1-2, 7.9%
      CRN3-5, 92.1%

      1 Flat and horizontal ground surrounded by a clear surface with
      a slope below 1/3 (<19°). Grass/low vegetation ground cover
      3 degrees.

      2 Same as Class 1 with the following differences. Surrounding
      Vegetation 5°.

      3 (error 1°C) ‐ Same as Class 2, except no artificial heating
      sources within 10 meters.

      4 (error ≥2°C) ‐ Artificial heating sources <10 meters

      5 (error ≥5°C) ‐ Temperature sensor located next to/above an
      artificial heating source, such a building, roof top, parking lot,
      or concrete surface

      So 92.1% have a 1 to 5C warm bias. So much for your precious alarmist link.

  4. Gail Combs says:

    Q1: Does Mother Nature tell us what the climate is?
    In the Warmist Year EVAH!

    CURRENT:
    “While they talk about nothing but warm temperatures in New York, cropping the maps so you can’t see the cold, they don’t mention that it’s snowing south of the Rio Grande in MEXICO out west,” says Ryan.
    As of 8 pm Sunday night, Dec 27, it was 28 F and headed for a low of 17 F in Chihuahua. Chihuahua, Mexico, is about 245 miles south of El Paso, Texas
    PHOTOS: http://www.eluniversal.com.mx/articulo/estados/2015/12/27/nieva-en-30-municipios-de-chihuahua

    Now the snowstorm hitting the southern Plains will spread into the Upper Midwest on Monday, warns accuweather. http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/winter-storm-northeast-ice-snow/54403025

    Utah Dept of Transportation trucks unable to plow due to stuck vehicles, Snowstorm forces rare closure of U.S. 40.
    (wwwDOT)parkrecord.com/park_city-news/ci_29308693/snowstorm-forced-rare-closure-u-s-40

    NOAA is so busy LYING FOR OBAMA, they fail to do their job properly.

    “Too-many-to-count crashes plugged up numerous thoroughfares in the Omaha area and travel in many areas ground to a halt. The heavy snowfall materialized, literally, overnight. It wasn’t until 3:50 a.m. Thursday that the National Weather Service sent out an “urgent” winter weather advisory warning 1 inch to 4 inches of snow was possible in the Omaha metro and that travel could be difficult. As the morning wore on, it was clear that snow was falling faster and more intensely than expected, Mayes said.
    (wwwDOT)omaha.com/weather/snowstorm-moves-on-leaves-behind-scores-of-multi-vehicle-crashes/article_95cb3b72-aa41-11e5-85e3-cf0b57c3e95e.html

    Historic snowfall in El Calafate, Argentina
    There is no history of snowfall recorded in El Calafate during this time of year. It started snowing on Christmas eve in El Calafate and continued throughout the night and Saturday morning. In one day they accumulated 38 mm of precipitation, three times the average for the entire month of December, which is a little more than 12 millimeters
    (wwwDOT)ahoracalafate.com.ar/nota/2521/historico-la-nieve-llego-a-el-calafate

    And meanwhile on the other side of the world….
    25 Dec 2015
    Mongolian helicopter downed by snow. A Mil Mi-8 helicopter belonging to Mongolian Armed Forces crashed on Wednesday night in Nalaikh District during a night-time military drill, killing one person and injuring 10 others. http://ubpost.mongolnews.mn/?p=17573

    26 Dec 2015,
    Heavy snowfall cuts Kamchatka off from outside world. Rescuers were working on high alert to quickly respond to possible emergency situations. However, residents of the region do not survive because of huge snowdrifts and snowstorm. (WordUnimpressed censors Russian links.)

    Kazakhstan – Nearly 300 people rescued from snow. A strong snowstorm paralyzed traffic on “Ust-Kamenogorsk – Almaty” and 6 passengers buses needed the help of rescuers. Snow is chest-deep in some areas.
    http://informburo.kz/novosti/trista-chelovek-spasli-iz-snezhnogo-plena-za-sutki-v-vostochnom-kazahstane-.html

    In the central and southern regions of Eastern Siberia and Yakutia the average daily temperature is running 7-12 degrees below normal.

    Saudi Arabia – Snowfall on Mount Radwa Yanbu summit for the 1st time in nearly a quarter century
    http://www.koolgded.com/mix/30753

    Last Spring- winter 2015
    Italy captured the world’s one day snow fall record twice this last winter in March TWICE.
    240cm (7.84 ft) in Pescocostanzo
    256cm (8.34 ft) of snow Capracotta

    Not far away, the Greek islands in the Mediterranean were buried under 6½ ft (2 m) of snow in January.

    August 27, 2015 — Massive Increase in Scottish Snow Patches

    Canberra’s coldest winter in 15 years
    Bogota, Colombia, covered in 24 inches of snow
    Heavy snowfall causes road closures in Mexico — A very unusual snowing forced the closure of the Mexico City – Puebla City 150-D highway
    Norway – Forced to remove excessive snow from ski slopes – “During the last two days we’ve got more snow than we had in the last two years together,” says Vegar Sårheim. “I had never believed we would experience this.”

    DECEMBER 2015
    12 Dec 2015
    Two feet of snow for California mountains
    Higher peaks in the Sierra Nevada received up to 2 feet of snow, said National Weather Service meteorologist Dawn Johnson.
    13 Dec 2015 –
    Meteorologist Reed Timmer reports from the Oklahoma panhandle near Boise City with whiteout conditions and wind gusts near 40 mph.
    14 Dec 2015
    Turkey – 827 villages inaccessible due to snow. temperature will fall up to 3 degrees below zero.

    15 Dec 2015
    Denver snowfall breaks 118-year-old record. Almost triple previous record
    Record snowfall in Salt Lake City. Breaks 93-year-old record.
    Snowfall breaks 116-year-old record
    Record-breaking day in Dodge City, Kansas. Almost eight inches (20 cm) of snow fell, breaking a 116-year-old record for Dec. 13 by 2.3 inches.

    16 Dec 2015
    Almost two feet of snow in Bathurst Canada
    (wwwDOT)heweathernetwork.com/news/articles/temps-drop-10–cm-of-snow-moves-into-the-prairies/61131/

    Billings snowfall shatters previous record. More than twice the old record – and the snow keeps coming
    billingsgazette(DOT)com/news/local/snowfall-doubles-record-several-billings-area-school s-closed-sd-to/article_534317ca-0ba8-5c14-9cfb-272d99c2b870.html

    Mt Bachelor, Oregon More than 6 feet of snow in 7 days. Mt Baker snow depth 13 times more than last year at ame time last year. — “If models are correct, nearly every western WA mountain snowfall reporting location could have over 100% of normal snowfall by weekend”

    December 17, 2015 Up to 2.5 feet of snow possible in Western New York
    STORM TOTALS OF 2 TO 2.5 FEET IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS ON THE TUG HILL PLATEAU … AND 12 TO 15 INCHES ACROSS LOWER ELEVATIONS.
    * WINDS…WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH PRODUCING BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

    Fort Collins, Colorado, shatters snowfall record Almost double previous record. This brings the city’s snow total for the season to 20.1 inches, 3.6 inches above normal.
    (wwwDOT)coloradoan.com/story/news/2015/12/16/287-near-border-closed-due-icy-conditions-poor-visibility/77411328/

    A powerful storm dumped up to 24 inches (60 cm) across western states on Tuesday, prompting cancellation of about 500 flights at the Denver airport and leaving snowdrifts 3 to 4 feet deep. The storm left about a foot (30 cm) of snow in the Salt Lake City area and more than two feet in other places. Farther east, the Colorado plains received four to eight inches of snow.
    Yet another storm is forecast to bear down on the area today.
    (wwwDOT)oregonlive.com/today/index.ssf/2015/12/utah_colorado_get_first_big_sn.html

    December 19, 2015 Heavy snowfall in India
    The cold wave will continue unabated for the next fortnight, an official from regional Met department said. The icy winds will intensify and snow will fall in the hills of eastern Uttar Pradesh
    (wwwDOT)ndtv.com/india-news/cold-wave-sweeps-uttar-pradesh-1256770

    Taklimakan Desert under snow in NW China’s Xinjiang

    Heavy snowfall/hail in Jordan
    (wwwDOT)sarayanews.com/index.php?page=article&id=340862

    December 20, 2015
    Fatal avalanche buries houses in Svalbard
    Longyearbyen, Svalbard’s only town of any size, is currently enduring “the most violent storm at Svalbard in the past 30 years.

    18-36 inches 45 cm-90 cm) new snow for CA mountains and up to 3 feet of snow forecast for Cascades

    December 22, 2015
    On the first day of winter Crystal Mountain WA has only 32 inches to reach last season’s total snowfall

    December 23, 2015
    Heavy snow, strong winds and ice could pound central U.S. this weekend

    Snoqualmie Pass, Cascade Mtns.WA BURIED in Snow. Snow depth increased 50 inches (127 cm) in 5 days – Two to three more feet (60-90 cm) due in the next 72 hours. The pass has been closed several times during the past few days, with chains often required. So far this year over 12 feet of snow has fallen in Snoqualmie, eclipsing the total snowfall of the entire last year.
    (wwwDOT)cliffmass.blogspot.com/2015/12/snoqualmie-pass-is-buried-in-snow.html

    Four feet (120 cm) of snow for Wyoming with Locally higher amounts possible.
    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY… DEC 23 2015
    MOUNTAIN SNOWS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON…SIERRA MADRE RANGE-WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON…TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS…AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 6 INCHES TODAY WILL BRING THE STORM TOTAL TO 3 TO 4 FEET. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE ON SOUTHWEST FACING SLOPES. SOUTHWEST WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 50 MPH POSSIBLE. NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS POSSIBLE IN FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW.

    Southern Manitoba digs out…again
    globalnews(DOT)ca/news/2417996/southern-manitoba-digs-out-again/

    Heavy snow blocks roads in Pakistan, more snow expected
    (wwwDOT)suchtv.pk/pakistan/gilgit-baltistan/item/31384-skardu-turns-into-white-valley-after-heavy-snowfall.html

    Blizzard conditions could shut down I-25, I-40 corridors
    “Heavy snow and strong winds will create blizzard conditions from eastern New Mexico to the Texas Panhandle and southwestern Kansas, The storm will consolidate over northern Mexico Saturday and Saturday night. Areas of heavy snow will develop over New Mexico and the San Juan Mountains, then expand to parts of the central and southern Plains later Saturday into Monday.
    (wwwDOT)accuweather.com/en/weather-news/major-storm-to-hammer-central-us-blizzard-snow-severe-weather-flooding-ice/54352350#link1

    Amazing all the stories that never make it into the MSM isn’t it?

  5. Global warming is proof that the almighty hears the prayers of the cold and destitute on the street.

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