A couple of years ago Jennifer Francis started the “polar vortex caused by missing Arctic ice” scam, and this year White House science czar John Holdren took the lead on that particular scam.
The US and Europe are about to get slammed with major blasts of cold, and there isn’t any missing Arctic ice. Yet another climate scam dies a rapid death.
As long as academics are paid to make up fake climate theories, they will continue to crank out more of them.
“Francis’s research focuses on climate change in the Arctic, and has published over 40 scientific papers on the topic.[1] It is also her opinion that warming in the Arctic may be changing the jet stream, which, in turn, may be leading to abnormal weather patterns such as an unusually long winter in the United Kingdom,[2][3] the 2013 Colorado floods,[4] and the unusually cold conditions across much of the southern United States in early 2014.[5][6] Specifically, Francis argues that the heating and cooling of Arctic seawater (the Arctic is warming much faster than the rest of the world) has slowed down the jet stream, resulting in weather conditions persisting for longer than they usually would.[7][8] That the warming in the Arctic is linked to extreme weather elsewhere in the world is a view supported by some of Francis’s research, such as a study published in Geophysical Research Letters in 2012.”
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jennifer_Francis
According to her bio, she has been nothing but a leach on society’s buttocks, afflicted with terminal academia.
Maybe, but she’s been very efficient at it:
Functionally stupid and getting things done.
Another way of saying ‘useful idiot’, something the left values.
That’s a darn good/smart article… Learned a lot from it… It explains a lot.
It is known as being a ‘Team Player’ no one, especially the incompetent boss, likes a subordinate that is smarter than he.
COROLLARY OF THE PETER PRINCIPLE.
The incompetent will always hire those dumber than they so they can shine.
“Sometimes I wonder whether the world is being run by smart people who are putting us on or by imbeciles who really mean it.”
― Laurence J. Peter, The Peter Principle
I think the world is run by thieving lazy con-artists. (And do not forget arrogant.)
Surprisingly, Kevin Trenberth disagreed with the idea of less Arctic sea ice as a cause of polar vortex’ from when the concept first originated. .
Winter polar vortex is formed in the stratosphere. Wind energy is produced by the temperature difference in the zone of of the ozone. The atmosphere there is very rare, and the temperature means higher the energy of air molecules. Temperature has to grow, when the ozone is formed, which releases heat. The temperature in the ozone zone of grows only under the influence of solar radiation and temperature of the tropopause is substantially constant (about -55 degrees C).
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/stratosphere/strat-trop/gif_files/time_pres_TEMP_MEAN_ALL_NH_2013.gif
Bullshit. You just said the air is very rare up there. (It’s 1 millibar up there, or 1/1000 of sea level pressure). That means it contains almost no heat. Even if it’s very hot in temperature, the heat is milliwatts/m2
Wind energy is not “produced by temperature difference” Wind is produced by pressure difference. What kind of wind does 1 millibar air make?
Wind at the poles is not produced in the stratosphere. Wind at the poles is produced by the rotation of the Earth.
Everything you just said is bullshit.
The increase in temperature causes a pressure difference.
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/stratosphere/strat_a_f/gif_files/gfs_z05_nh_f00.gif
Polar vortex in the stratosphere at an altitude of about 17,500 meters.
http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/70hPa/orthographic=26.65,84.20,318
Polar vortex in the stratosphere at an altitude of about 26500 m.
We see that at a higher altitude wind speed is greater.
I advise you to focus on the actual data …
http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/10hPa/orthographic=26.65,84.20,420
Summer polar vortex is very weak, because it decreases the temperature gradient.
Compare with the southern polar vortex at an altitude of 26,500 m.
http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/10hPa/equirectangular
This is the temperature above the polar circle. Do you have other data?
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/stratosphere/strat-trop/gif_files/time_pres_TEMP_MEAN_ALL_NH_2014.gif
Actually it is the ozone formed/destroyed in the stratosphere that is the connection as far as I can tell.
Let me see if I can trace the different steps via various papers. No one has put it together in one paper because it would kill or at least challenge CAGW. I was thinking I should organize my notes and lay it out anyway.
First NASA has finally admitted that the sun is not constant and although the Total Solar Insolation is relatively constant the distribution of the energy among wavelengths is not. This is the critical point.
2007 was before the deep solar minimum.
“…A 12-year low in solar “irradiance”: Careful measurements by several NASA spacecraft show that the sun’s brightness has dropped by 0.02% at visible wavelengths and 6% at extreme UV wavelengths since the solar minimum of 1996….” science(DOT)nasa.gov/science-news/science-at-nasa/2009/01apr_deepsolarminimum/
NASA has also admitted different wavelengths of sunlight do different things in different parts of the atmosphere.
Solar Spectral Irradiance Data
CHARACTERISTICS OF THE GENERAL CIRCULATION OF THE ATMOSPHERE AND THE GLOBAL DISTRIBUTION OF TOTAL OZONE AS DETERMINED BY THE NIMBUS III SATELLITE INFRARED INTERFEROMETER SPECTROMETER
Changes in Ozone and Stratospheric Temperature graph
Top-Down Solar Modulation of Climate: evidence for centennial-scale change
Then we get into the effect on the poles.
Quasi-biennial oscillation and solar cycle influences on winter Arctic total ozone
The influence of solar variability and the quasi-biennial oscillation
on lower atmospheric temperatures and sea level pressure
Climate System Response to Stratospheric Ozone Depletion and Recovery
The Antarctic ozone hole: An update
Then there is the Cosmic ray connection.
Does the worsening galactic cosmic radiation environment observed by CRaTER preclude future manned deep space exploration
Before the start of Solar Cycle 24 you can see the effect of the Grand Solar Maximun on the Antarctic.
Decadal Scale Temperature Trends in the Southern Hemisphere Ocean Journal of Climate, 2008.
And for the Amusement value.
A short summary from NERC dated 2007 says the following:
NERC had their rumps nailed to the wall by E.M. Smith HERE and quickly deleted the page.
Gail you and I We know that no one has focused on the sun, because it was not for the money.
You are still looking at the stratosphere as a source of wind in the troposphere/surface. Let’s let the cat out of the bag now:
1. speed of earth’s rotation at the pole = 0
2. speed of earth’s rotation 1000 miles from the pole = 6283 miles / 24 hours = 262 MPH
OK?
Want to know what the polar vortex looks like? Here’s a simulation | ParaView Workshop
The wind in the stratosphere comes from the rotation of the earth. Air in the stratosphere moves north from lower latitudes, where it rotates with the earth, at roughly the same speed as earth for a while (earth’s rotational speed drops quickly to 0 at the poles but is still 261 MPH only 1000 miles from the pole). As the air in the stratosphere approaches the pole, it’s moving much faster than the earth in an easterly direction (from the west so the winds are actually westerly winds) from the momentum the air got by rotating with the earth at lower latitudes. Now, the fast-moving air gets to the pole, it has all this kinetic energy which does NOT come from heat, ozone, sunlight, etc. as you say. It’s just momentum.
Now the stratospheric air cools and sinks at the pole. but the air is only 1 millibar so when it gets into the troposphere where the air is much thicker, the drag slows it down to almost 0. There is virtually no wind at the pole near the surface. The 1000 millibar air stops it.
Now the air moves southward again, where it picks up “wind” from the rotation of the earth, but in the opposite direction. Now, the wind comes from calm air moving across a rotating earth. Therefore, the winds are easterlies (moving to the west) because the earth rotates to the east. These are called polar easterlies and are NOT the polar vortex. The polar vortex is westerlies in the stratosphere (the jet stream is a westerly in the stratosphere). But these are easterlies near the surface.
Polar vortex is the wrong term for cold air coming down from the pole in the troposphere. The correct term is “cold air mass”. They use “polar votex” because they are liars.
What is the Polar Vortex?
The stratospheric polar vortex is a large-scale region of air that is contained by a strong west-to-east jet stream that circles the polar region. This jet stream is usually referred to as the polar night jet. The polar vortex extends from the tropopause (the dividing line between the stratosphere and troposphere) through the stratosphere and into the mesosphere (above 50 km). Low values of ozone and cold temperatures are associated with the air inside the vortex.
In winter from the top of stratosphere appear sudden changes in temperature.
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/stratosphere/strat-
trop/gif_files/time_pres_TEMP_ANOM_ALL_NH_2014.gif
Polar vortex in the stratosphere is the strongest in the area of the largest temperature gradient. Do not look at the data.
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/stratosphere/strat-trop/gif_files/time_pres_TEMP_ANOM_ALL_NH_2014.gif
February 26, 2014
This polar vortex at 17 km.
https://i0.wp.com/oi61.tinypic.com/2vaxjwm.jpg
Polar vortex formation on South Pole 1st Jan 2014 to July 2014.
The formation of ozone in the upper atmosphere does not “create” heat. If anything, it keeps it a bit cooler down here. High energy solar photons ADD energy by striking O2 or O3 molecules and splitting them. They recombine and in doing so dump that energy at a lower level minus the original work of splitting and moving that atomic oxygen around. Molecular oxygen and ozone act more as energy transducers buffering high UV energies by moving atomic oxygen around from molecule to molecule… whatever heat is generated at the lower wavelengths, more than half radiates back to space between 9µm and 10µm. The exception would be the Auroras at the poles where, well above ~100km, oxygen radiates visible light in the red and green part of the spectrum because of the extremely high energy it gets bumped to by solar wind that gets through the flux lines of the magnetosphere. (the blue and violet is N2.)
At those near vacuum pressures there is so little mechanical energy that I can’t imagine it has any effect at all on the far more massive lower atmosphere.
Anomalies in the temperature in the stratosphere in the winter resulting to changes in solar activity (galactic radiation, UV radiation can not reach during the polar night).
In the graphic temperature distribution at about 35 km.
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/stratosphere/strat_a_f/gif_files/gfs_t05_nh_f00.gif
Changes in Polar Vortices (Annual Cycle).
The decrease in solar activity produces waves in the stratosphere (associated with an increase in temperature), which causes an increase in pressure over the Arctic Circle.
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/stratosphere/strat-trop/gif_files/time_pres_WAVE1_MEAN_ALL_NH_2014.gif
Currently, you can see another wave and increase the pressure in the north.
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/stratosphere/strat-trop/gif_files/time_pres_WAVE1_MEAN_OND_NH_2014.gif
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/daily_ao_index/ao.obs.gif
Please be compared to solar activity. The increase in the neutron mean decrease in activity.
http://cosmicrays.oulu.fi/webform/query.cgi?startday=01&startmonth=09&startyear=2014&starttime=00%3A00&endday=27&endmonth=12&endyear=2014&endtime=00%3A00&resolution=Automatic+choice&picture=on
“A team of British and American scientists has discovered a new method to detect major weather events occurring 32 km up in the Earth’s stratosphere. Cosmic rays, detected 0.8 km beneath the planet’s surface in an obsolete iron mine, have the potential to identify weather event…
Scientists discover underground cosmic rays can detect major weather events
A team of British and American scientists has discovered a new method to detect major weather events occurring 32 km up in the Earth’s stratosphere. Cosmic rays, detected 0.8 km beneath the planet’s surface in an obsolete iron mine, have the potential to identify weather events that happen during the Northern Hemisphere winter.
Scientists from the UK’s National Centre for Atmospheric Science (NCAS) and the Science and Technology Facilities Council (STFC) teamed up with colleagues from the US project MINOS to evaluate cosmic-ray data detected in a disused iron mine in the midwest state of Minnesota. The aim of the MINOS project is to investigate the properties of neutrinos (particles with zero charge and zero mass) and measure muons originating high up in the atmosphere as background noise in the detector.
The four-year data showed that a number of high-energy cosmic rays (the energy charged particles from outer space that strike the Earth from every direction) reach a detector deep underground and match temperature measurements in the stratosphere (also known as the upper atmosphere), the researchers said.
‘It’s fun sitting half a mile underground doing particle physics,’ remarked the University of Oxford’s Dr Giles Barr, co-author of the study. ‘It’s even better to know that from down there, we can also monitor a part of the atmosphere that is otherwise quite tricky to measure.’
According to the scientists, their findings provide insight into how cosmic rays can be used to identify weather events that may have a significant effect on the severity of winters that people experience. It should also be noted that the weather events may also influence the amount of ozone over the poles.
Existing climate and weather-forecasting models used to improve weather forecasts would benefit considerably from new techniques to identify weather events and understand their frequency.
‘Up until now we have relied on weather balloons and satellite data to provide information about these major weather events,’ explained Dr Scott Osprey, lead scientist for the NCAS. ‘Now we can potentially use records of cosmic ray data dating back to 50 years to give us a pretty accurate idea of what was happening to the temperature in the stratosphere over this time. Looking forward, data being collected by other large underground detectors around the world can also be used to study this phenomenon.’
The scientists said the cosmic rays (also known as muons) are generated following the decay of other cosmic rays (known as mesons). Researchers recognise that when the atmosphere’s temperature rises, it expands, leading to the destruction of fewer mesons on air impact. This leaves more mesons to decay naturally to muons, and so the number of muons detected increases.”
http://cordis.europa.eu/news/rcn/30377_en.html
Warmist scientists (also known as morons) would disagree, and bleat on about the greenhouse effect.
“The Polar Vortex Scam About To Die”
I disagree. Oh, you are right that mother nature has proven this latest wild assed story to be a load of crap — but that is in the real world. In the world of politics, the “polar vortex scam” will live on as it is useful. The idea is to associate “polar vortex” with bad winter weather and CO2.
This whole CO2 scam is the real nightmare. It is human lunacy writ large.
As long as the Crony-capitalists, Banksters Politicians, Academics and Journalists are all in league and on the same page the scam will continue. As Gator said they are all leaches on society’s buttocks. Unfortunately at this point they have almost succeeded in killing the Golden Goose.
https://i0.wp.com/freedomandprosperity.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/Santa-entitlements.jpg
https://danieljmitchell.files.wordpress.com/2013/06/mitchells-first-theorem-of-government.jpg
I have always wondered how I went 57 years with multiple trips up into the Arctic Circle without hearing about “The Polar Vortex” in all that time. It not like I didn’t pay attention to the weather reports.
I can remember in the 1960s-1970s (when freezing my rump off in upper-state New York) it was called the ‘polar express.’
What’s in a name?
There was no missing ice when Holdren created the scam. Facts are irrelevant to scam artists.
Only the money and political power is important.
The fact that in 1972 when Maurice Strong first talked of Global Warming at the UN First Earth Summit it was down right cold and later in 1988 when Hansen and Wirth pulled their scam, it was not exactly warm, tells you it was a scam. And they KNEW way back in 1976 they could expect ~30 to 40 years of warming or manufacture 30-40 years of warming. That is why Nopenhagen was so important to the Elite. That is why the Whistleblower released the Climategate e-mails that threw the spanner in the works alt that time.
ftp://ftp.ssmi.com/msu/graphics/tlt/plots/rss_ts_channel_tlt_global_land_and_sea_v03_3.png
http://www.drroyspencer.com/wp-content/uploads/UAH_LT_1979_thru_October_2014_v5.png
https://chiefio.files.wordpress.com/2014/07/hadcet_graph_ylybars_uptodate.gif
How can the scam die if the media still tells the lies?
I just read a one page article in a Long Island newspaper, Newsday, which recapped the weather of 2014 here. Titled Mild & Wild the highlights were “Frigid, snowy winter…historic summer deluge…and it never hit 90 degrees.”
It was nice to see no global warming mentioned, one paragraph was about the polar vortex:
“It was also the year that news outlets discovered – and in some cases hyped – the term “polar vortex,” which is a staple of meteorologists’ vocabulary, referring to the orientation of the jet stream. When the jet stream dips south, polar air comes along with it, he said. “It took us a little by surprise” that the term “became such a thing,” Stark said.” (David Stark)
Of interest:
January saw 16 new daily records, mostly for snowfall, low temperatures and lowest maximum temperatures, as well as one for a daily high. The airport saw a temp plunge from 55 degrees on the morning of Jan. 6th to 7 degrees 24 hours later.
January snowfall was 25.2 inches, the norm is 6.7
February snowfall was 24.5 inches, the norm is 7.1
February saw 6 snowfalls between the 3rd and the 18th.
8/13/14 – 5.34 inches of rain fell between 5 and 6 a.m. With another 4.37 inches the following hour, making it a 500 year event.
The summer had the second longest run of no 90 degree (or higher) days in the past 30 years. We haven’t had a 90 degree day since July 20, 2013. The record 90 degree free period was July 6, 2003 to June 13, 2005. If temps stay below 90 through June 30, 2015 we will break the record. June isn’t typically hot here, so we may just make a new record.
WOW! No CAGW in the article? Just WOW!
(I have relatives in Huntington BTW)
They don’t focus on the sun because there is nothing to be done about it, thus no money in it. But if you can blame humans, then something can be done. And please to send us some more money so we can model more as our current models are smoking craters, but we’ll get it right, eventually.
Stratosphere – Troposphere Interaction.
Sun, Ozone, Polar Jet and the Brewer-Dobson Circulation
Morgan, this information will get you on the same page as ren and I. It is basic information about ozone in the atmosphere and circulation from the tropics to the poles.
DIAGRAM
http://www.goes-r.gov/users/comet/tropical/textbook_2nd_edition/media/graphics/brewer_dobson_2.jpg
From: (wwwDOT)http://www.goes-r.gov/users/comet/tropical/textbook_2nd_edition/print_3.htm
Climate Change Look up, Look out
Basic Description
This is why I already posted papers on the QBO (Quasi-Biennial-Oscillation) and ozone and its effects.
CRITICAL
Morgan, I strongly recommend you read the rest of this.
Forecast polar vortex on January 4, 2014, at the height of about 23 km.
http://max.nwstatic.co.uk/gfsimages/gfs.20141227/12/183/npst30.png
http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=stratosphere;sess=
Sorry, January 4, 2015.
There’s plenty of Ice where I live, I foretasted it years ago, when we were having mild winters without ice on the ground, when people like Al gore were pushing “climate alarm” and the “experts” were sending dubious e-mails to each other lol
Even last night the bbc an article about how Sheffield had a light dusting of snow and it was raining with some sleet, while some photographers/reporters on twitter were posting photos of heavy snow and saying people were abandoning their cars.
Well as I live in London and that’s part of Europe I have to say the weathers been cold the last few days but nothing sensational even the snow hat never was never was yes across the UK there was some settled snow but in the bulk of the UK it was rain. Sorry to contradict but bull shite added to bull shite just make even more bull shite. By the way take no notice of the UKMO website as it has two masters AGW and H&S. AGW make it make preposterous heat wave and wet stormy mild winter forecasts and H&S madness makes UKMO exaggerate every f*(king snowflake . To be honest I’m sick to the teeth of UKMO over the last twenty years giving out red, Orange and Yellow warnings for rain FFS.
Its 22:01 GMT as I write and the London weather dry and frosty but not in a million years brutal.