Fraud Or Incompetence : You Decide

Study: Sea level rise accelerating more than once thought

By SETH BORENSTEIN

WASHINGTON — The world’s oceans are now rising far faster than they did in the past, a new study says.

The study found that for much of the 20th century — until about 1990 — sea level was about 30 percent less than earlier research had figured. But that’s not good news, scientists say, because about 25 years ago the seas started rising faster and the acceleration in 1990 turns out to be more dramatic than previously calculated.

The current sea level rise rate — which started in 1990 — is 2.5 times faster than it was from 1900 to 1990, according to a study published Wednesday in the journal Nature. Scientists say that faster pace of sea level rise is from melting ice sheets in Greenland and West Antarctica and shrinking glaciers, triggered by man-made global warming.

We’re seeing a significant acceleration in the past few decades,” said study lead author Carling Hay, a geophysical researcher at Harvard University. “It’s concerning for cities along the U.S. East Coast” where water levels are rising even faster than the world average.

“It’s definitely something that can’t be ignored,” Hay said.

Study: Sea level rise accelerating more than once thought

This is utter nonsense. Tide gauges along the East Coast (or anywhere else) don’t show an uptick 25 years ago. In fact, they show the fastest rise before 1950.

ScreenHunter_738 Jan. 14 17.22ScreenHunter_737 Jan. 14 17.21ScreenHunter_736 Jan. 14 17.21ScreenHunter_735 Jan. 14 17.20ScreenHunter_734 Jan. 14 17.20

Tide gauges on the west coast don’t show any sea level rise over the past 25 years

ScreenHunter_740 Jan. 14 17.44

What changed is that they added satellite data to the mix in 1992, which shows big bulges in the middle of the ocean in regions where the error is almost as large as the trend. A signal/noise ratio of 0.

ScreenHunter_739 Jan. 14 17.27

Global mean sea level results

A recent study of tide gauges showed a slight decrease in sea level rise rates since 1970

The new reconstruction  suggests a linear trend of 1.9 ± 0.3 mm·yr−1 during the 20th century, with 1.8 ± 0.5 mm·yr−1 since 1970.

http://nora.nerc.ac.uk/504181/1/1-s2.0-S0921818113002750-main.pdf

The claims of an acceleration in sea level rise are mindless nonsense. It is equivalent to switching to an uncalibrated scale, and claiming that you lost weight as soon as you switched scales.

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41 Responses to Fraud Or Incompetence : You Decide

  1. gator69 says:

    Hmmm. Adjusting the past downwards to create an accelerated trend. I would call that fraud, there is no reason to make these adjustments, unless you are trying to fit a narrative.

  2. nigelf says:

    Fraud it is, cased closed.
    Next!

  3. geologyjim says:

    And then there’s this statement:

    “’It’s concerning for cities along the U.S. East Coast’ where water levels are rising even faster than the world average.”

    Both Borenstein and Carling Hay KNOW (or certainly should know) that the East Coast is subsiding and that (on average) global sea level rises and falls – – (wait for this) – – GLOBALLY

    Duh. Gravity always wins.

    Borenstein has made so many buffoonishly wrong statements over the past decade that one can only conclude he is a total fraud. If merely incompetent, he would have occasionally said something nearly right.

    • Louis Hooffstetter says:

      One factor contributing to subsidence along the east coast is water withdrawal from confined aquifers in the Atlantic coastal plain. The subsequent decline in head (hydraulic pressure) allows the sediments of the aquifers to gradually compress. Other factors include natural compaction of ancient delta sediments from the weight of overlying material, isostatic adjustments, and tectonic movements.

      • Gail Combs says:

        Not to mention the terra-forming on the east coast. For example the 19th-century filling project in Boston Back Bay was a bay.

        The bay was tidal: the water rose and fell several feet over the course of each day, and at low tide much of the bay’s bed was exposed as a stinky marshy flat. (Think dead cows, horses and raw sewage.) In 1835 Jackson hired Asa Sheldon, a Wilmington farmer, to supervise the job of filling in the bay. Sheldon used oxen to move Pemberton Hill into the Backbay of Boston, removing 70 ft from the top of the hill.

        Now there are buildings sitting on that fill. Given much of the east coast was changed in a similar manner, with the filling in of pestilence ridden stinky marshy flats, I would be very surprised if there was not subsidence over 150 years or more. Another example: The Draining of the Everglades: “In 1908 inland drainage operations were begun

        It is only in recent years that swamps have been come ‘sacred’ to the Econut/P.C. crowd since they do not have to live near them.

        The Back Bay area of Boston today:

        The 1858 view from State House dome westward along the Mill Dam (now Beacon Street)

        (Photos from WIKI)

  4. NotFunny says:

    Incompetence. The circular reasoning of the argument is so apparent only an idiot would make it and a fool would believe it.

    “We try to correct for all those signals using our simulations and statistical methods, then look at what’s left and see if it fits with the patterns we expect to see from different ice sheets.

    …… wait for it …..wait for it …… wait a little more ….. Ah Hah! Found it!

    To their surprise, Hay said, it quickly became clear that previous estimates of sea-level rise over most of the 20th century were too high.”

  5. omanuel says:

    The fraud was triggered by Aston’s promise and warning about nuclear energy on 12 DEC 1922 [1], unreported chaos and fear of world-wide nuclear annihilation in AUG-SEPT 1945 [1], and a sincere desire “to save the world from nuclear annihilation” with false models of energy in cores of heavy atoms and ordinary stars in 1946 [2].

    They inadvertently isolated humanity from the Creator, Destroyer and Sustainer of every atom, life and world in the solar system today [3], . . .

    . . . a volume of space that has expanded over the past five billion years to be greater than the combined volumes of 10,000,000,000,000,000,000 Earth’s !

    References:

    1. Aston’s PROMISE & WARNING (12 Dec 1922); CHAOS & FEAR (Aug -Sept 1945) https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/10640850/CHAOS_and_FEAR_August_1945.pdf

    2. Why Did Our Government Deceive Us? https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/10640850/WHY.pdf

    3. “Solar energy,” Adv. Astronomy (submitted for on-line review, 6 Jan 2015)
    https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/10640850/Solar_Energy_For_Review.pdf

    • DHF says:

      Excuse me, but I can´t see that your comment is even remotely on topic. I see that you repeat your message over and over again. I find it a bit noisy.

      • omanuel says:

        I regret offending you. The connection is that all 97% consensus believers in the:

        1. Standard Climate Model
        2. Standard Nuclear Model
        3. Standard Stellar Model

        Are 100% afraid to address experimental data in public that show they are taking public funds to promote false propaganda.

        Worse yet, postmodern consensus science induced a false sense of hopelessness and separation of mankind from the “Sustainer of Life”.

  6. Dave N says:

    Nature magazine turned into a tabloid ages ago. They aren’t interested in science or accuracy; just sales from “shock” stories.

    • Louis Hooffstetter says:

      For those who are unaware, SciAm was put under control of Nature Publishing Group (NPG) in the fall of 2008 and formally joined NPG in June of 2009. This is when their format switched from science to pseudo-scientific propaganda. As we can see, they have degenerated to the point of publishing utter bullshit.

      • Gail Combs says:

        There is ZERO excuse for the B.S. these people are publishing, they have the background to know better. (degrees in Physics, Biology and such) NPG Directors

        This means they are deliberately and knowingly publishing fraud.

        • omanuel says:

          Yes, Gail, you are right.

          I personally told the editor and publisher several years ago that Nature knowingly misrepresents the Sun.

          There is no excuse.

        • Louis Hooffstetter says:

          The editors and contributing authors to SciAm and Nature not only know better, they choose to intentionally confuse their readers rather than educate and enlighten them. This fraudulent deception is 180 degrees opposite of the original purpose of these publications. And that’s why I wouldn’t wipe my butt with the pages of either of them.

        • omanuel says:

          I didn’t use those exact terms in communicating with the editor nod publisher of Nature,, but the message was the same.

  7. Billy Liar says:

    ‘No error bar’ science.
    Utterly worthless.

  8. philjourdan says:

    Fraud. They have to justify their government money.

  9. stpaulchuck says:

    the web is flooded with gullible buffoons that eat this stuff up so they can run around spewing hate and discontent against ‘deniers’ and puffing their sunken chests to prove ‘they care more’. I am so-o-o-o-o-o tired of their lunacy. I think I’ll crank the thermostat up a couple degrees and go let my F-150 idle in the drive for an hour or so and then grill some dinner steaks on the bar-b-que.

    Roll on global warming! Minnesotans For Global Warming!

    • Gail Combs says:

      Since I am old and have no children I often think “Let them have their Sustainability, Agenda 21 and serfdom if that is what they really want.”

  10. Gerard van Rijswijk says:

    Same trick as is applied to temperature records. If increase does not seem to be enough, depress the historical record.

  11. Jl says:

    Check out this same story over at WUWT-and the comments section that completely shreds their scare story.

  12. The sea level thing is the most disgusting of all their many lies. It’s just disgusting.

  13. John B., M.D. says:

    Tony,
    Figure 3 on the 3rd page of your link http://nora.nerc.ac.uk/504181/1/1-s2.0-S0921818113002750-main.pdf says the most. That trend looks roughly linear since the Little Ice Age. There is no increased slope since 1950. Put another way, AGW has added nothing (that we can tell) to the natural trend.

  14. Marsh says:

    Of course it is Fraud ; no one could be that Incompetent for so long !!

    • omanuel says:

      Nobody grasped the extent of government deceit in Nov 2009 when Climategate emails first surfaced and exposed fraud behind reports by the United Nations IPCC reports.

      Thanks to incompetence and arrogance, the public is now awakening to the unimaginable consequences of Stalin’s powerful position in negotiations to establish the United Nations on 24 Oct 1945, after capturing Japan’s atomic bomb plant at Konan, Korea and capturing and holding the crew of an American B29 bomber for negotiations in Aug-Sept 1945.

  15. Marsh says:

    The first sentence is right on with AGW, but from there,,, it’s a long bow with a different target…
    The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change was created in 1988 . Set up by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) and the United Nations Environment Program (UNEP).
    Those that formed the UN in 1945, probably had no concept of CC Fraud ; that came later.

  16. Stephen Richards says:

    Isn’t there an expression that covers this situation? Something about not describing it as fraud when utter stupidity would do.

    • Gail Combs says:

      It is not utter stupidity it is FRAUD. Again look at the top two on NPG Directors

      Steven Inchcoombe, Managing Director, London

      Steven Inchcoombe was appointed Managing Director of Nature Publishing Group (NPG) in October 2007 and has driven its successful growth, development, and expansion in the years since. In 2009 Scientific American became a part of NPG, to form the core of its new consumer media division. Steven has also been an Executive Board member of Macmillan Publishers Ltd since September 2006.

      …Prior to joining Macmillan, Steven was UK Publisher at The Financial Times newspaper, having already held board positions at The Financial Times Group between 2000 and 2006 ….. From 1990 to 2000 he was with Interactive Data Corporation, a fast growing and highly successful specialist in digital and online services for financial institutions, where he held commercial, development and general management positions, ending up on the Board where he was responsible for strategy and corporate development. Steven studied physics at Merton College, Oxford, and qualified as a chartered accountant with Price Waterhouse Coopers.

      Philip Campbell, Editor-in-Chief, London

      Philip Campbell is the Editor-in-Chief of Nature and the Editor-in-Chief of Nature-branded publications. Philip joined Nature in 1979, becoming physical sciences editor in 1982. He left Nature in 1988 to be the founding editor of Physics World. He took up his present position in December 1995. He is a Fellow of the Institute of Physics and a Fellow of the Royal Astronomical Society. Philip’s first degree was in aeronautical engineering, following which he took an MSc in astrophysics (Queen Mary College London), and a PhD in upper atmospheric physics (Leicester University).

      These are not no-nothing liberal arts type. More over they are in the UK where fuel poverty is the second leading cause of death.

      Also of interest is the Mission statement that was revised in 2000 after 131 years.

      Nature’s original mission statement was published for the first time on 11 November 1869. The journal’s original mission statement was revised in 2000. The original mission statement is reproduced below:

      “To the solid ground
      Of Nature trusts the mind that builds for aye.” – WORDSWORTH

      THE object which it is proposed to attain by this periodical may be broadly stated as follows. It is intended
      FIRST, to place before the general public the grand results of Scientific Work and Scientific Discovery ; and to urge the claims of Science to a more general recognition in Education and in Daily Life ;
      And, SECONDLY, to aid Scientific men themselves, by giving early information of all advances made in any branch of Natural knowledge throughout the world, and by affording them an opportunity of discussing the various Scientific questions which arise from time to time.
      To accomplish this twofold object, the following plan will be followed as closely as possible :
      Those portions of the Paper more especially devoted to the discussion of matters interesting to the public at large will contain:
      I. Articles written by men eminent in Science on subjects connected with the various points of contact of Natural knowledge with practical affairs, the public health, and material progress ; and on the advancement of Science, and its educational and civilizing functions.
      II. Full accounts, illustrated when necessary, of Scientific Discoveries of general interest.
      III. Records of all efforts made for the encouragement of Natural knowledge in our Colleges and Schools, and notices of aids to Science-teaching.
      IV. Full Reviews of Scientific Works, especially directed to the exact Scientific ground gone over, and the contributions to knowledge, whether in the shape of new facts, maps, illustrations, tables, and the like, which they may contain.
      In those portions of “NATURE” more especially interesting to Scientific men will be given :
      V. Abstracts of important Papers communicated to the British, American, and Continental Scientific societies and periodicals/
      VI.Reports of the Meetings of Scientific bodies at home and abroad.
      In addition to the above, there will be columns devoted to Correspondence.

      • omanuel says:

        Thanks, Gail, for that quote from the early pages of Nature. I quoted the same pages back to the editor and publisher of Nature several years ago when canceling my subscription to that once prestigious publication.

  17. markstoval says:

    I know it is fraud with a lot of the alarmists. I know that conformation bias plays a big factor with many of them. I know that ignorance and only hearing one side plays a big part with many non-technical people.

    In the end, the main thing seems to me to be summed up in two different quotes:

    “It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends on his not understanding it.” ― Upton Sinclair, I, Candidate for Governor: And How I Got Licked

    The other quote is by Paul Simon in one of his songs, ” … a man sees what he wants to see and disregards the rest.

  18. Gail Combs says:

    When considering deliberate FRAUD, do not forget TwentyEightGate’ From 2012 BREAKING: The ‘secret’ list of the BBC 28 is now public – let’s call it ‘TwentyEightGate’

    The list of advisors included Trevor Evans, US Embassy!
    Blake Lee-Harwood, Head of Campaigns, Greenpeace
    Andrew Dlugolecki, Insurance industry consultant
    Colin Challen MP, Chair, All Party Group on Climate Change
    ….PURPOSE: To raise awareness of the threat of climate change and to promote policies to counter that threat.
    Claire Foster, Church of England
    Li Moxuan, Climate campaigner, Greenpeace China
    Iain Wright, CO2 Project Manager, BP International
    Ashok Sinha, Stop Climate Chaos
    Kevin McCullough, Director, Npower Renewables [one of the UK’s leading renewable energy companies]
    Jos Wheatley, Global Environment Assets Team, DFID
    DFID’s aim is the elimination of poverty in poorer countries through sustainable development. SEE: (wwwDOT)publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm200506/cmselect/cmenvaud/1014/6051102.htm

    Scandal: BBC’s six-year cover-up of secret ‘green propaganda’ training for top executives

    Anthony Watts / January 12, 2014
    David Rose of the Mail on Sunday tears the BBC a new one, thanks to an “amateur climate blogger”.

    * Pensioner forces BBC to lift veil on 2006 eco-seminar to top executives
    * Papers reveal influence of top green campaigners including Greenpeace
    * Then-head of news Helen Boaden said it impacted a ‘broad range of output’
    * Yet BBC has spent more than £20,000 in legal fees trying to keep it secret

    The BBC has spent tens of thousands of pounds over six years trying to keep secret an extraordinary ‘eco’ conference which has shaped its coverage of global warming…..

    What is clear in the Mail on Sunday report is that funding for the 2006 BBC climate change seminar came from a government department. Also that the funds were channelled through environmental lobbyists who were organising the seminar.

    The new attention on the BBC’s 28gate seminar has been prompted by disclosure of documents showing how the [UK Government’s] Department for International Development responded to a funding request for funding from the International Broadcasting Trust a body that lobbies broadcasters on behalf of green NGOs. What we have, in essence, appears to be government paying for subversion of the state broadcaster. –Andrew Montford, Bishop Hill, 12 January 2014

    Please go read the article.

    • Marsh says:

      “” What we have, in essence, appears to be government paying for subversion of the state broadcaster.”” Very true Gail ; If the UK Government took the same stance as Australia ; the BBC would be slashed like the ABC in OZ. = no funding for seminars.
      Australians are no smarter than they are in other Countries but they’re more suspicious of any snake oil salesmen ; they can spot Fraud sooner . The interesting question is : Which Government, will next officially recognise CC Hoax & Fraud ; the US or UK ?
      I wont hold my breath…

      • Gail Combs says:

        Marsh, I think the game changer is the internet.

        Delingpole’s 2012 article about the BBC scandal had 2839 comments. Those people, thanks to Tony Newbery, the tenacious North Wales pensioner who went after the BBC like a pit bull and Maurizio Morabito, who managed to unearth the list of attendees at the seminar via the Wayback Machine, now have the ammunition to back up their arguments with friends.

        Many people do not like being duped. Mother Nature is cooperating by dumping 50 feet of snow in Scotland last winter with 300 patches of ‘new glaciers’ (neve) lasting through the summer not to mention all the other major cold and snow events. The record growth of Antarctic sea ice and the recovery of Arctic sea ice.

        You have to be really really disconnected from reality to still believe the propaganda. The election of members of UKIP show those in the UK are getting fed-up just as the over whelming election of republicans in the USA and the change in the politics in Australia shows the same.

        Too bad we do not have any honest politicians to vote FOR.

  19. Gail Combs says:

    After the ‘Experiment’ in brainwashing and censorship at the BBC, we have these statements:

    “It has had a major impact on the willingness of the BBC to raise these issues for discussion. Joe Smith and I are now wondering whether we can help other journalists to perform a similar role in countries round the world” – Roger Harrabin

    “The seminars have been publicly credited with catalysing significant changes in the tone and content of BBC outputs across platforms and with leading directly to specific and major innovations in programming,” – Dr Joe Smith

    SUCCESS! the Propaganda WORKED, now let’s export it to all other MSM.

    How the Blair government paid for the subversion of our state broadcaster — James Delingpole (2839 comments)

    A reference to stevengoddard(DOT)wordpress.com/ is in the top three!

    • omanuel says:

      Thanks, Gail, for the reference to the article by James Delingpole!

      United we stand, but not united under the plan Stalin et al designed to rule the world and save it for their totalitarian control under the United Nations on 24 OCT 1945!

  20. omanuel says:

    SETH BORENSTEIN illustrates a successful employee of the ARROGANT FOOLS that took totalitarian control of planet Earth in the aftermath of WWII to “save the world from possible nuclear destruction” via the mechanism outlined in the last paragraph of Aston’s Nobel Lecture on 12 Dec 1922, . . .

    . . . totally unaware that they themselves are totally powerless to control – even their own heartbeat – much less the fate of all humanity on a water-covered planet that orbits one astronomical unit (1 AU) from the pulsar remnant of the star that:

    1. Made all of our chemical elements
    2. Birthed the solar system five billion years (5 Ga) ago
    3. Evolved into an ordinary-looking star eventually able to
    4. Sustain the origin and evolution of life on Earth after 3.5 Ga ago
    5. Still maintains control of every atom, world and life in the solar system today, . . .
    including every atom and every living cell in SETH BORENSTEIN himself, today’s self-disclosed example of ARROGANT IGNORANCE in world leaders!

  21. catweazle666 says:

    “By SETH BORENSTEIN”

    Case closed.

  22. It is I only says:

    The sea is rising ! The sea is rising ! The sea is rising ! The sea is rising !
    King Canute .

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