Rapidly Cooling The Pacific

All of the warm water at the surface of the Pacific, and the major hurricanes that have been occurring there – are radiating huge amounts of heat out into space. The Pacific is likely losing record amounts of heat this summer. Note the cold spots starting to appear around Hawaii where typhoons have passed.

sst_anom (2)

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24 Responses to Rapidly Cooling The Pacific

  1. Psalmon says:

    You really have to question whether the SST is that warm IMO. Dr. Ryan Maue showed some good stats on the trends around the 10th anniversary of Katrina:

    Total Global Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) Sep 1985 – Aug 1995: 8102 Sep 1995 – Aug 2005: 8310 Sep 2005 – Aug 2015: 6676

    120-months before Katrina 491 global hurricanes, 253 were major 120-months since Katrina 430 global hurricanes, 234 were major

    Since hurricanes are the planet’s natural air conditioning warmer should mean more storms. Where are they? 10 years a good interval. Maybe not so warm like everything else they do.

    • Dmh says:

      The ONI index is showing a not so strong El Nino so far,
      http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/ensostuff/ensoyears.shtml
      It looks comparable to the moderate episode of 2006-07.

      The heat seems localized mostly in the N. Pacific, IMO, the Atlantic and S Pacific are near normal or below normal

      I agree with Steve that the N. Pacific is loosing energy fast, the PDO+ is quickly going down, as happened in similar previous spikes, the anomaly decreased by more than 1C since the beginning of this year,

      I think solar radiations are also playing an important role and should help to accelerate the process in the final months of this year.

      N. Pole temperatures are not very warm,

      as happened in 2007

      and 2012,

      In general satellite measurements show world’s temperatures falling in the present “El Nino”, which is exactly the opposite of what happened in 1997-98, 2009-10, and even 2006-07

      What is happening now looks like a different phenomenon than the previous moderate or strong El Nino’s.

    • spren says:

      It is interesting in your reference to ACE for the period ending in 2005. I think the seasons of 2004 and 2005 were the most active hurricane cycles we’ve recently experienced. And I think it is no accident that after those active years ocean temperatures started declining, and soon to follow atmospheric temperatures.

      I think the oceans help to seek equilibrium in the coupled atmosphere/ocean system. From what I see, both are giving up more heat than they are retaining. This points to a cooling cycle more than a warming one. I would much prefer things get warmer!

  2. Andy DC says:

    What has happened to the Gulf Stream?

  3. Rosco says:

    Doesn’t anyone find it interesting that El-Nino ocean warming begins off the south American coastline right where 5 continental plates are jostling each other as part of the area known as the Ring of Fire and then spreads over the Pacific ??

    Undersea volcanic activity in an area known as the Ring of Fire couldn’t possibly account for El-Nino ocean warming ? It must be the atmosphere with its 2 – 3 percent concentration of greenhouse gases at 1/1000th the density of water.

  4. Rosco says:

    Of course my perspective was from Australia and the south Pacific.

    The north Pacific shows similar heating along the Ring of Fire.

    Volcanic activity seems to be more intense lately – no major eruptions but a lot of moderate activity from various parts of the globe. Seems to be several years of elevated volcanic activity.

  5. Rosco says:

    I don’t pretend to know what causes El-Nino but lava at up to 1200 degrees C can cause ocean heating. The number and location of undersea volcanoes is unknown as is the activity associated with these but the Ring of Fire is apparently the most active volcanic area we know of.

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